The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brescia 31.4%
Draw 31.3%
Cagliari 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
31.6%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
31.8%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
54.5%
36.4%
Brescia - Cagliari Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Cagliari will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Brescia has the most likely position - 19 (26.23%), has project points - 37, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (12.53%), has project points - 55, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (62%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality29, importance42, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1.
Brescia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Cagliari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.
Italy
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