Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	18:00	Z Sports 2
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	13:00	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	13:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	12:00	ESPN 4
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	Sport 3
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Norway	18:00	VG+
Paraguay	14:00	ESPN 4
Peru	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	17:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Napoli		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.44	4.25	8.3
	1.46	4.5	9
	1.43	4.49	9.25	Watch
	1.4	4	8
	1.49	4.32	7.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	4.29 ↓ (4.63)	8.21 ↓ (9.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
66.1%

Draw
22.3%

Lecce
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.5%

20.6%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

18.2%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	13.5%	2.7%

Napoli - Lecce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

EH -1 - Napoli (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Napoli (2.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meret A. (G) 31. Beukema S. 4. Buongiorno A. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. (C) 99. Anguissa F. 6. Gilmour B. 37. Spinazzola L. 20. Elmas E. 27. Alisson Santos 19. Hojlund R.	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 20. Ramadani Y. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 29. Coulibaly L. 19. Banda L. 9. Stulic N.
Substitutes
14. Contini N. (G) 11. De Bruyne K. 23. Giovane 3. Gutierrez M. 5. Juan Jesus 9. Lukaku R. 30. Mazzocchi P. 8. McTominay S. 32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G)	99. Cheddira W. 8. Fofana S. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 16. Gandelman O. 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 23. Sottil R.
Coaches
Conte A.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Siebert J. ⚽, Gallo A. (A),
19', Siebert J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Elmas E. ↓, McTominay S. ↑,
46', Anguissa F. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
46', Coulibaly L. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
59', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Politano M. ⚽,
73', Politano M. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
73', Spinazzola L. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
79', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
79', Gallo A. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
85', Alisson Santos ↓, Giovane ↑,
86', Ngom O. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lecce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury) Vergara A. (Injury)

There will not play in Lecce: Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Gallo A. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10:19	-9	9

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 1.41% Lecce: 0.02%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
06.03.26	Napoli - Torino	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta - Napoli	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLTL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Como - Lecce	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lecce - Udinese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.10.25	Lecce - Napoli	0:1
03.05.25	Lecce - Napoli	0:1
26.10.24	Napoli - Lecce	1:0
26.05.24	Napoli - Lecce	0:0
30.09.23	Lecce - Napoli	0:4
07.04.23	Lecce - Napoli	1:2
31.08.22	Napoli - Lecce	1:1

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