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Cagliari - Napoli

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 30
  • Date: 20 March 2026, Friday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
    AfricaAfrica—Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
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    AustriaAustria18:30DAZN
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    BoliviaBolivia13:30ESPN 5
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    BrazilBrazil14:30Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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    CanadaCanada13:30DAZN Canada, FuboTV
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    Czech RepublicCzech Republic18:30Oneplay, Sport 2
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    SerbiaSerbia18:30Arena Sport 1
    SloveniaSlovenia18:30Arena Sport 1 Premium
    South AfricaSouth Africa19:30SuperSport Football
    South KoreaSouth Korea02:30SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
    SpainSpain18:30DAZN Espana
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    InternationalInternational17:30Starzplay Sports app
    Cagliari Napoli
    Cagliari Napoli
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.45 ↓
    (5.78)    		 3.49 ↓
    (3.77)    		 1.74 ↑
    (1.63)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Cagliari
    17.6%    		Draw
    27.4%    		Napoli
    55%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    16.4% 25.2% 58.3%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    15.7% 24% 60.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    1.4% 5.4% 93.2%

    Cagliari - Napoli Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 - Cagliari (1.35) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Napoli (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (69 of 72 users predict this - 95.83%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 91.21% โ€“ 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Napoli (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. ItalyCaprile E. (G)
    32. PortugalPedro J.
    26. ColombiaMina Y. (C)
    22. ItalyDossena A.
      2. ItalyPalestra M.
      8. FranceAdopo M.
    10. ItalyGaetano G.
    25. GhanaSulemana I.
    15. UruguayRodriguez J.
    94. ItalyEsposito Se.
    90. ItalyFolorunsho M.
    		32. SerbiaMilinkovic-Savic V. (G)
    31. NetherlandsBeukema S.
      4. ItalyBuongiorno A.
    17. UruguayOlivera M.
    21. ItalyPolitano M. (C)
      6. ScotlandGilmour B.
    68. SlovakiaLobotka S.
      3. SpainGutierrez M.
    11. BelgiumDe Bruyne K.
      8. ScotlandMcTominay S.
    19. DenmarkHojlund R.
    Substitutes
    20. UruguayAlbarracin A.
    24. ItalyCiocci G. (G)
    14. ItalyDeiola A.
    36. ItalyGrandu N.
      9. TurkeyKilicsoy S.
    27. ZambiaLiteta J.
      4. ItalyMazzitelli L.
    31. SenegalMendy P.
    30. ItalyPavoletti L.
    18. NetherlandsRaterink O.
    12. AlbaniaSherri A. (G)
    37. FranceTrepy Y.
    28. ItalyZappa G.
    		27. BrazilAlisson Santos
    99. CameroonAnguissa F.
    14. ItalyContini N. (G)
    20. NorthElmas E.
    23. BrazilGiovane
      5. BrazilJuan Jesus
      9. BelgiumLukaku R.
    30. ItalyMazzocchi P.
      1. ItalyMeret A. (G)
    37. ItalySpinazzola L.
    Coaches
         ItalyPisacane F.
    		     ItalyConte A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 2', 0 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽,
    • 17', Lobotka S. 🟨,
    • 35', Pedro J. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 55', Lobotka S. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
    • 65', Folorunsho M. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
    • 69', Olivera M. 🟨,
    • 73', Adopo M. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
    • 73', Pedro J. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,
    • 77', Politano M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
    • 77', Gilmour B. ↓, Anguissa F. ↑,
    • 84', Olivera M. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
    • 84', Esposito Se. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
    • 84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Raterink O. ↑,
    • 90+4', Dossena A. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.
  • Cagliari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Napoli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 3).
  • In this match, Napoli is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Injury) Obert A. (Red Card)
  • There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury) Vergara A. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Napoli: Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:46. (average 0.6:2.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:25. (average 0.3:2.8).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Napoli942317:11614
    10Cagliari94148:13-513

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Napoli: 1.48% Cagliari: 0.2%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Cagliari Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    15.03.26 Pisa - Cagliari 3:1 ✺
    07.03.26 Cagliari - Como 1:2 ✺
    27.02.26 Parma - Cagliari 1:1 ✺
    21.02.26 Cagliari - Lazio 0:0 ✺
    16.02.26 Cagliari - Lecce 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1
    LLTTL
    - SSC Napoli
    Italian Serie A
    14.03.26 Napoli - Lecce 2:1 ✺
    06.03.26 Napoli - Torino 2:1 ✺
    28.02.26 Verona - Napoli 1:2 ✺
    22.02.26 Atalanta - Napoli 2:1 ✺
    15.02.26 Napoli - Roma 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5
    WWWLT
    Latest Head to Head
    Coppa Italia
    03.12.25 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1 penalties
    Italian Serie A
    30.08.25 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    23.05.25 Napoli - Cagliari 2:0
    15.09.24 Cagliari - Napoli 0:4
    25.02.24 Cagliari - Napoli 1:1
    16.12.23 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1
    21.02.22 Cagliari - Napoli 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Cagliari Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Lazio - Cagliari ✺
    - SSC Napoli
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 Porto - Napoli ✺
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Juventus - Napoli ✺

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