Match Info

Serie A - Round 30

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 5, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Cagliari		Napoli

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.73	Watch
	5.75	3.6	1.63
	5.4	3.35	1.75	Watch
	5.68	3.48	1.76
	5.4	3.56	1.77	Watch
	5	3.3	1.73
	5.4	3.65	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.45 ↓ (5.78)	3.49 ↓ (3.77)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
17.6%

Draw
27.4%

Napoli
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

25.2%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

24.4%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.4%	5.4%	93.2%

Cagliari - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Cagliari (1.35) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Napoli (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (69 of 72 users predict this - 95.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Napoli (votes: 12 - 92.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 32. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. (C) 22. Dossena A. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 25. Sulemana I. 15. Rodriguez J. 94. Esposito Se. 90. Folorunsho M.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 4. Buongiorno A. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. (C) 6. Gilmour B. 68. Lobotka S. 3. Gutierrez M. 11. De Bruyne K. 8. McTominay S. 19. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
20. Albarracin A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 14. Deiola A. 36. Grandu N. 9. Kilicsoy S. 27. Liteta J. 4. Mazzitelli L. 31. Mendy P. 30. Pavoletti L. 18. Raterink O. 12. Sherri A. (G) 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.	27. Alisson Santos 99. Anguissa F. 14. Contini N. (G) 20. Elmas E. 23. Giovane 5. Juan Jesus 9. Lukaku R. 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G) 37. Spinazzola L.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽,
17', Lobotka S. 🟨,
35', Pedro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lobotka S. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
65', Folorunsho M. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
69', Olivera M. 🟨,
73', Adopo M. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
73', Pedro J. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,
77', Politano M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
77', Gilmour B. ↓, Anguissa F. ↑,
84', Olivera M. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
84', Esposito Se. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Raterink O. ↑,
90+4', Dossena A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.

Cagliari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Napoli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Napoli is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Injury) Obert A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury) Vergara A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:46. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:25. (average 0.3:2.8).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.78% Cagliari: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Pisa - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cagliari - Como	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Parma - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cagliari - Lazio	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
14.03.26	Napoli - Lecce	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Napoli - Torino	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta - Napoli	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Napoli - Cagliari	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie A
30.08.25	Napoli - Cagliari	1:0
23.05.25	Napoli - Cagliari	2:0
15.09.24	Cagliari - Napoli	0:4
25.02.24	Cagliari - Napoli	1:1
16.12.23	Napoli - Cagliari	2:1
21.02.22	Cagliari - Napoli	1:1

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