Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Brescia		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.57	3.8	5.98
	1.55	3.84	5.5	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.56	3.64	5.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.44)	3.67 ↓ (4.34)	5.52 ↓ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
58.7%

Draw
24.8%

Ospitaletto
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Brescia - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 82. Armati L. 4. Sorensen F. 3. Rizzo A. 93. Marras M. 14. Mallamo A. 27. Lamesta A. 18. De Maria V. 24. Boci B. 97. Cazzadori D. 8. Balestrero D. (C)	12. Sonzogni L. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 4. Nessi R. 6. Possenti M. 77. Casali M. 26. Mondini G. 28. Panatti M. (C) 10. Ievoli M. 7. Messaggi C. 20. Maucci G. 9. Gobbi F.
Substitutes
30. Cantamessa S. 11. Cisco A. 71. Davolio N. 21. Fogliata R. 1. Liverani L. (G) 17. Maistrello T. 28. Silvestri L. 45. Valente M.	99. Bertoli M. 14. Contessi A. 75. Cortese S. (G) 70. Girelli 43. Guarneri M. 23. Maffioletti L. 55. Mundi R. (G) 11. Pavanello A. 2. Regazzetti S. 8. Scheffer M. 33. Sina S. 13. Sinn L. 19. Tornaghi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Sorensen F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Ievoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
54', Maucci G. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
71', Marras M. ↓, Cisco A. ↑,
71', Balestrero D. ↓, Maistrello T. ↑,
77', Boci B. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
80', Mondini G. ↓, Scheffer M. ↑,
80', Gobbi F. ↓, Maffioletti L. ↑,
83', Mallamo A. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
83', De Maria V. ↓, Silvestri L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ospitaletto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brescia is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brescia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Brescia - Triestina	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	AlbinoLeffe - Brescia	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Brescia - Lecco	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Brescia - Pro Patria	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLWW
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
14.03.26	Ospitaletto - Trento	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Ospitaletto	4:1 ✺
03.03.26	Ospitaletto - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Cittadella - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	Ospitaletto - Brescia	0:0

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