Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 28

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Tommaso Dal Molin (Arzignano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Union ArzignanoChiampo		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.47
	2.12	3.14	3.37	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.36	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.16	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.08)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union ArzignanoChiampo
41.5%

Draw
30.2%

Ospitaletto
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-2%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bertini T. (G) 5. Rossoni S. 33. Boffelli A. 19. Toniolo F. 23. Bernardi E. 8. Damiani M. 15. Bianchi N. 17. Castegnaro L. 13. Cariolato F. 32. Nanni N. 9. Mattioli A.	12. Sonzogni L. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 6. Possenti M. 4. Nessi R. 77. Casali M. 2. Regazzetti S. 10. Ievoli M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 99. Bertoli M. 21. Torri A.
Substitutes
26. Boccia S. 31. Invaso T. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 57. Milillo A. 16. Moretti M. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 18. Perini G.	22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 75. Cortese S. (G) 79. De Matteis G. 9. Gobbi F. 43. Guarneri M. 23. Maffioletti L. 20. Maucci G. 26. Mondini G. 11. Pavanello A. 8. Scheffer M. 33. Sina S. 13. Sinn L. 19. Tornaghi P. . Torri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Nanni N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Regazzetti S. ↓, Maucci G. ↑,
55', Torri A. ↓, Gobbi F. ↑,
69', Ievoli M. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
69', Casali M. ↓, Sinn L. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Bertoli M. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Bertoli M. ⚽,
76', Damiani M. ↓, Moretti M. ↑,
76', Rossoni S. ↓, Boccia S. ↑,
76', Mattioli A. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
85', Bianchi N. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
85', Boffelli A. ↓, Milillo A. ↑,
90+2', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Ospitaletto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

ArzignanoChiampo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ArzignanoChiampo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15

Last Results with these Odds

Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.96%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
15.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Trento	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.26	Ospitaletto - Inter U23	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Alcione - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Pergolettese - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.10.25	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1

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