Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 29

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Cittadella		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.98	3.25	4.57
	1.77	3.4	4.38	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.7
	1.97	3.32	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.55)	3.24 ↓ (3.88)	4.13 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
48.9%

Draw
28.6%

Ospitaletto
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittadella's form might have worsened.

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ospitaletto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ospitaletto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Cittadella - Ospitaletto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ospitaletto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Saro G. (G) 19. D'Alessio F. 36. Zilio A. 55. Redolfi A. 14. Crialese C. 8. Amatucci F. 7. Anastasia E. 5. Barberis A. 17. Perretta G. 21. Rabbi S. 90. Bunino C.	12. Sonzogni L. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 6. Possenti M. 4. Nessi R. 13. Sinn L. 26. Mondini G. 43. Guarneri M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 99. Bertoli M. 9. Gobbi F.
Substitutes
4. Angeli M. 10. Casolari F. 99. Castelli D. 9. Diaw D. 44. Gatti R. 40. Gobbato M. 77. Ignatov E. 1. Maniero L. (G) 28. Rizza A. 27. Stronati R. 16. Vita A.	77. Casali M. 75. Cortese S. (G) 79. De Matteis G. 23. Maffioletti L. 20. Maucci G. 55. Mundi R. (G) 11. Pavanello A. 2. Regazzetti S. 8. Scheffer M. 33. Sina S. 19. Tornaghi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Rabbi S. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Bertoli M. ⚽,
31', Amatucci F. 🟨,
39', Rabbi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Possenti M. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Rabbi S. ⚽,
62', Crialese C. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
63', Bunino C. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Gobbi F. ⚽,
72', Anastasia E. ↓, Vita A. ↑,
77', Sinn L. ↓, Casali M. ↑,
82', Guarneri M. ↓, Scheffer M. ↑,
82', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
85', Rabbi S. ↓, Castelli D. ↑,
85', Barberis A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
90+2', Messaggi C. ↓, Maucci G. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cittadella is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.26	Triestina - Cittadella	2:3 ✺
16.02.26	Cittadella - Renate	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Pro Patria - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Lumezzane - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Cittadella - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
22.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Ospitaletto - Inter U23	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Alcione - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.25	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	1:2

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