Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ospitaletto		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.28	4.27
	1.9	3.25	3.96	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.85	3.18	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	3.16 ↓ (3.49)	3.98 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
48.1%

Draw
28.9%

Pro Patria
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Ospitaletto - Pro Patria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ospitaletto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pro Patria (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ospitaletto (votes: 1 - 50%). Pro Patria (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 4. Nessi R. 6. Possenti M. 77. Casali M. 26. Mondini G. 10. Ievoli M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 9. Gobbi F. 99. Bertoli M.	28. Sala A. (G) 19. Travaglini C. 26. Masi A. 33. Pogliano C. 20. Mora C. 40. Schiro T. 23. Frosali J. 14. Citterio G. 17. Tunjov G. 70. Desogus J. 9. Udoh K.
Substitutes
75. Cortese S. (G) 79. De Matteis G. 43. Guarneri M. 23. Maffioletti L. 20. Maucci G. 55. Mundi R. (G) 11. Pavanello A. 2. Regazzetti S. 8. Scheffer M. 33. Sina S. 13. Sinn L. 19. Tornaghi P. 21. Torri A.	5. Di Munno A. 31. Felicioli G. 25. Ferri D. 27. Giudici L. 10. Mastroianni F. 7. Orfei A. 11. Renelus B. 21. Ricordi T. 1. Rovida W. (G) 8. Schiavone A. 3. Verre M. 22. Zamarian M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Pogliano C. 🟨,
45+1', Mondini G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Frosali J. ↓, Ferri D. ↑,
65', Citterio G. ↓, Renelus B. ↑,
65', Mora C. ↓, Felicioli G. ↑,
70', Casali M. ↓, Sinn L. ↑,
70', Mondini G. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
76', Ievoli M. ↓, Maucci G. ↑,
79', Desogus J. 🟨,
83', Udoh K. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
83', Desogus J. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
86', Nessi R. 🟨,
90', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ospitaletto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ospitaletto is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ospitaletto	9	5	3	1	15:6	9	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.26	Cittadella - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Ospitaletto - Inter U23	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Alcione - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWTTT
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.26	Pro Patria - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Brescia - Pro Patria	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Trento - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Pro Patria - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
26.10.25	Pro Patria - Ospitaletto	0:0

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