Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kavumba Recreation Centre (Wakiso)


	Bright Stars		Express

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.45	2.95
	2.18	3.56	2.87	Watch
	2.44	3.38	2.48
	2.14	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bright Stars
41.1%

Draw
26.4%

Express
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bright Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bright Stars than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Bright Stars - Express Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Express (3.39) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Express (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Mulabi S. (G) 8. Alou J. 10. Bunjo N. 4. Buule W. 16. Kaziro J. 6. Kitimbo I. 5. Kyambadde A. (C) 13. Mandera A. 28. Mustapha K. 12. Odongo J. 11. Senkatuka N.	26. Achay H. 10. Gagganga G. 18. Hafizi K. 14. Kawooya R. 23. Lumu I. 13. Mbazira A. 6. Shabene D. (C) 7. Ssenoga M. K. 21. Ssenyonjo S. 28. Wandera H. 2. Zziwa J.
Substitutes
21. Atari K. 3. Badoni A. 20. Fiat C. 7. Kakande S. 25. Kamya S. (G) 29. Kato F. K. 2. Kato N. 15. Mukisa J. 18. Nsereko S. 22. Oketcho P. 24. Were E. D. (G)	19. Kagiri M. (G) 1. Kalyowa E. (G) 11. Kawawa A. 15. Kisuule I. 16. Kyeyune S. 29. Ssebandeke E. 27. Ssenfuma S. 9. Ssenjogera C. 8. Wasswa E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Ssenoga M. K. ↓, Kawawa A. ↑,
41', Shabene D. 🟨,
45+2', Mustapha K. ↓, Fiat C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Gagganga G. ↓, Wasswa E. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Shabene D. ⚽,
72', Kitimbo I. ↓, Oketcho P. ↑,
72', Kaziro J. ↓, Kakande S. ↑,
77', Mandera A. ↓, Nsereko S. ↑,
82', Kawooya R. ↓, Kisuule I. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Bright Stars won 1.

Bright Stars is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

Recent matches Express is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

Express could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Bright Stars will have a poor advantage in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bright Stars won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams, Bright Stars won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 9:8 (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bright Stars FC
Ugandan Super League
25.04.25	Lugazi Municipal - Bright Stars	3:1 ✺
15.04.25	Bright Stars - Wakiso Giants	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Bright Stars	4:0 ✺
03.04.25	Bright Stars - Police	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Kampala City Council - Bright Stars	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
24.04.25	Express - UPDF	2:2 ✺
16.04.25	Mbale Heroes - Express	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Express - Vipers	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Maroons - Express	1:0 ✺
27.03.25	NEC FC - Express	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
02.01.25	Express - Bright Stars	2:1
22.02.24	Bright Stars - Express	1:1
21.10.23	Express - Bright Stars	1:0
25.04.23	Bright Stars - Express	1:1
22.11.22	Express - Bright Stars	0:2
07.02.22	Bright Stars - Express	0:0
07.01.22	Express - Bright Stars	1:1

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