The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brighton & Hove Albion 46.8%
Draw 26.7%
Leeds United 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
25.3%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
24.5%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brighton & Hove Albion's form might have worsened.
Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.7%
6.2%
6.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Brighton & Hove (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Brighton & Hove Albion will win
(57 of 65 users predict this - 87.69%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.7% โ 95.68%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 24. Kadioglu F. 44. Vuskovic L. 5. Dunk L. (C) 21. Boscagli O. 13. Gross P. 26. Ayari Y. 25. Gomez D. 35. Yalcouye M. 29. De Cuyper M. 19. Kostoulas C.
1. Trafford J. (G) 24. Justin J. 30. Elvedi N. 5. Muharemovic T. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 3. Gudmundsson G. 18. Stach A. 19. Okafor N. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.
Substitutes
14. Andres C. 20. Costinha 12. David P. 3. Hadjam J. 33. O'Riley M. 49. Oriola N. 15. Osman I. 23. Steele J. (G) 4. Struijk P.
11. Aaronson B. 23. Bahoya J. 26. Bard M. 15. Bijol J. 7. James D. 8. Longstaff S. 14. Nmecha L. 10. Wilson H. 16. Zetterer M. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.
Farke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Bogle J. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Bogle J. ⚽, Tanaka A. (A),
38', Gross P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', De Cuyper M. 🟨,
61', Bogle J. ↓, Bijol J. ↑,
62', Okafor N. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
64', Calvert-Lewin D. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Vuskovic L. ⚽, De Cuyper M. (A),
73', Tanaka A. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
74', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
77', De Cuyper M. ↓, David P. ↑,
78', Kadioglu F. ↓, Costinha ↑,
85', Wilson H. 🟨,
87', David P. 🟨,
90+3', Boscagli O. ↓, Struijk P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Brighton & Hove is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Azeez F.
(Abdominal strain)
Ferguson E.
(Ankle Injury)
Hinshelwood J.
(Injury)
Minteh Y.
(Injury)
Mitoma K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Svoboda M.
(Injury)
Tzimas S.
(Knee Injury)
Wieffer M.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Leeds: Gruev I.
(Knee Injury)
Joseph M.
(Knee Injury)
Rodon J.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Rutter G.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 1.9:0.2).
Outrights of English Premier League for now
Brighton: 2.56% Leeds: 0.58%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Brighton
5
3
1
1
16:5
11
10
5
Leeds
5
2
3
0
7:3
4
9
Last Results with these Odds
Brighton & Hove Albion - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.91%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.