Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Supersport Action
Albania	SuperSport 4
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ France, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	Sky Sport 3, WOW
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Hong-kong	Now Player
Iceland	SÝN, SÝN Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
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North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
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Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
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Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
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Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	NBC, Peacock
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Bournemouth		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	4.1
	1.82	3.95	4.1
	1.88	4	4.2
	1.98	3.91	3.72	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.9
	1.89	3.99	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.08)	3.91 ↑ (3.6)	4 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
51.4%

Draw
24.6%

Leeds United
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.3%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bournemouth's performance.

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.2%	16.3%	22.4%

Bournemouth - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 29 - 60.4%). Leeds will win (votes: 11 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 46.6% – 74.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Bournemouth (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 10. Christie R. 7. Brooks D. (C) 22. Kroupi E. J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson	26. Darlow K. (G) 24. Justin J. 15. Bijol J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 3. Gudmundsson G. 11. Aaronson B. 19. Okafor N. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.
Substitutes
12. Adams T. 21. Adli A. 18. Diakite B. 11. Doak B. 29. Mandas C. (G) 37. Rayan 15. Smith A. 27. Toth A. 26. Unal E.	23. Bornauw S. 40. Buonanotte F. 29. Gnonto W. 7. James D. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J. 6. Rodon J.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Kroupi E. J. 🟨,
41', Jimenez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Bogle J. ↓, Rodon J. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Senesi M. (A),
64', Okafor N. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
64', Bijol J. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
67', Brooks D. ↓, Rayan ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Hill J. (Own goal),
73', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Adams T. ↑,
73', Christie R. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
84', Aaronson B. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Rayan ⚽, Adams T. (A),
89', Tanaka A. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
90+1', Tavernier M. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
90+5', Evanilson 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Longstaff S. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Bournemouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Cook L. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Stach A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Soler J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: James D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8:5	3	9
17	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7:13	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
18.04.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Arsenal - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Bournemouth - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWTTT
- Leeds United
English Premier League
18.04.26	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.04.26	West Ham United - Leeds United	2:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
21.03.26	Leeds United - Brentford	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Crystal Palace - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
27.09.25	Leeds United - Bournemouth	2:2
30.04.23	Bournemouth - Leeds United	4:1
05.11.22	Leeds United - Bournemouth	4:3
English League Championship
20.01.15	Leeds United - Bournemouth	1:0
16.09.14	Bournemouth - Leeds United	1:3
25.03.14	Bournemouth - Leeds United	4:1
01.10.13	Leeds United - Bournemouth	2:1

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