Match Info

A-League Women - Round 5

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Polytec) (Gosford)

Referee: Allum S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Wellington Phoenix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.65	1.75	Watch
	4.07	3.89	1.88
	3.86	4.02	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.66	3.84	1.86	Watch
	3.5	3.45	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	3.71 ↑ (3.45)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
24.7%

Draw
24.8%

Wellington Phoenix
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

25.8%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Central Coast (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Central Coast (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Grove A. (G) 5. Martin A. 3. Barwick-Grey E. 18. King (C) 23. Baumann L. 22. Trimis P. 6. Gomez I. 14. Kraszula G. 12. Fuller T. 7. Prakash A. 21. Familton E.	1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 16. Van der Meer M. 11. Elliott M. 23. Nunn B. 32. Pijnenburg E. 7. Jale G. 24. Vlok P. 14. Leon L. 30. Anthony M.
Substitutes
13. Buchanan K. 9. Farrow M. 10. Levin T. 16. Quilligan T. 4. Thew B. 30. Varley S. (G)	27. Benson Z. 15. Brazendale D. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 8. Fraser M. 3. Jaber T. 31. Woods M.
Coaches
Babington K.	Priestman B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', L. León ↓, M. Woods ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Familton E. ⚽, P. Trimis (A),
60', M. Anthony ↓, M. Fraser ↑,
66', M. van der Meer ↓, Tiana Jaber ↑,
72', T. Fuller ↓, Levin T. ↑,
76', E. Pijnenburg ↓, D. Brazendale ↑,
76', Familton E. ↓, T. Quilligan ↑,
76', P. Vlok ↓, Z. Benson ↑,
83', 2 - 0, I. Gomez ⚽, Levin T. (A),
87', B. Nunn 🟨,
89', P. Trimis ↓, B. Thew ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, M. Fraser ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Central Coast has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wellington is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wellington is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Wellington Phoenix - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners Women
Australian A-League Women
21.03.26	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWTL
- Wellington Phoenix Women
Australian A-League Women
20.03.26	Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
14.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	1:2
21.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:2
26.01.25	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
12.01.24	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	1:2
18.11.23	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:0

Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide