Match Info

A-League Women - Round 18

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Polytec) (Gosford)

Referee: Lee L. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 8
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.85	3.55	1.6
	4.95	4.25	1.61
	4.63	4.16	1.65	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.6
	4.36	3.88	1.72	Watch
	4.33	4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↓ (4.97)	3.93 ↓ (3.97)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
20.1%

Draw
23.4%

Melbourne City
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.9%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Grove A. (G) 5. Martin A. 3. Barwick-Grey E. 18. King (C) 23. Baumann L. 6. Gomez I. 14. Kraszula G. 10. Levin T. 22. Trimis P. 9. Farrow M. 7. Prakash A.	24. Mieres M. (G) 16. Roestbakken K. 13. Stott R. (C) 5. Otto T. 3. Turner D. 22. Henry B. 12. McMahon S. 6. McKenna L. 11. Jackson D. 21. Keane A. 9. McNamara H.
Substitutes
13. Buchanan K. 21. Familton E. 12. Fuller T. 25. Hughes B. 16. Quilligan T. 30. Varley S. (G)	8. Apostolakis A. 23. Barbieri M. (G) 7. Butrus D. 18. Davidson L. 20. Karic C. 15. Uchendu C.
Coaches
Babington K.	Matricciani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Barwick-Grey E. 🟨,
41', Henry B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, Henry B. ⚽, McNamara H. (A),
56', Farrow M. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
56', Levin T. ↓, Familton E. ↑,
56', Martin A. ↓, Hughes B. ↑,
62', King 🟨,
64', McMahon S. ↓, Davidson L. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Stott R. ⚽, Otto T. (A),
74', 0 - 3, Keane A. ⚽, Henry B. (A),
76', McNamara H. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
77', Jackson D. 🟨,
77', 1 - 3, Gomez I. ⚽, Barwick-Grey E. (A),
87', Davidson L. 🟨,
88', Henry B. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,
89', Keane A. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne City is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners Women
Australian A-League Women
14.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLTW
- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
15.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	5:2 ✺
04.02.26	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
07.11.25	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	4:0
11.05.25	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 ET
03.05.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	2:2
31.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	0:0
16.11.24	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	2:2
23.03.24	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	3:0
15.12.23	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	1:1

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide