Match Info

A-League Women - Round 22

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Polytec) (Gosford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Sydney FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2	3.85	3.47
	1.86	3.89	3.72	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.3
	1.95	3.7	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
48.6%

Draw
25%

Sydney FC
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

23.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sydney FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Central Coast Mariners - Sydney FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Grove A. (G) 13. Buchanan K. 5. Martin A. 3. Barwick-Grey E. 18. King (C) 23. Baumann L. 14. Kraszula G. 10. Levin T. 16. Quilligan T. 21. Familton E. 9. Farrow M.	1. Hinz H. (G) 22. Valletta C. 3. McLean C. 16. Pearson W. 4. Tumeth T. 14. Lemon A. 17. Corbett C. 9. Ulkekul J. 15. Hawkesby M. (C) 13. Tanner R. 18. Luchtmeijer A.
Substitutes
19. Bowman J. 17. Dos Santos J. 8. Fernandez M. 25. Hughes B. 4. Thew B. 30. Varley S. (G)	2. Ayson M. 26. Caspers M. 5. Fenton K. 6. Hollman S. 29. Oppedisano A. (G) 30. Robertson T. (G)
Coaches
Babington K.	Slaveski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Buchanan K. ↓, Dos Santos J. ↑,
61', Hawkesby M. ↓, Hollman S. ↑,
70', Valletta C. ↓, Fenton K. ↑,
70', Ulkekul J. ↓, Caspers M. ↑,
78', Farrow M. ↓, Hughes B. ↑,
83', Quilligan T. ↓, Bowman J. ↑,
83', Fenton K. 🟨,
87', Tumeth T. 🟨,
90+1', Martin A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Central Coast is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners Women
Australian A-League Women
29.03.26	Central Coast Mariners - Canberra United	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWTLW
- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
28.03.26	Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix	1:3 ✺
13.03.26	Newcastle Jets - Sydney FC	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Sydney FC - Canberra United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
23.11.25	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:0
19.01.25	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	0:0
01.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Sydney FC	3:1
27.04.24	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:1
21.04.24	Central Coast Mariners - Sydney FC	0:1
17.01.24	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:2
07.01.24	Central Coast Mariners - Sydney FC	0:0

Central Coast Mariners - Sydney FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide