Match Info

A-League Women - Round 8

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Spencer Park (Brisbane)

Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Extra
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Brisbane Roar		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.6	1.85
	3.62	4.16	1.83	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.8
	4.2	3.46	1.85	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (4.42)	3.64 ↓ (4.06)	1.84 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar
25%

Draw
25.1%

Melbourne City
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

22.2%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

21.7%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Roar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Brisbane Roar (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brisbane Roar (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lincoln C. (G) 22. Piazza A. 2. Varley L. 7. Hayashi M. 11. Seidl M. 5. Medwin A. 4. Stephenson K. 32. Woods A. 24. Freier S. 3. Brown D. 17. Jansen B.	24. Mieres M. (G) 16. Roestbakken K. 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. 3. Turner D. 6. McKenna L. 8. Apostolakis A. 21. Keane A. 9. McNamara H. 15. Uchendu C. 22. Henry B.
Substitutes
6. Cuthbert R. 12. Franco T. (G) 18. Kinsella A. 15. Meyers K. 27. Miller A. 8. Studer J.	23. Barbieri M. (G) 11. Jackson D. 17. Jugovic K. 12. McMahon S. 10. Rako I. 2. Wilson E.
Coaches
Smith A.	Matricciani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Woods A. 🟨,
38', Keane A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, McNamara H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Uchendu C. ↓, Jackson D. ↑,
56', Henry B. 🟨,
64', Stephenson K. ↓, Miller A. ↑,
64', Jansen B. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
73', Medwin A. ↓, Studer J. ↑,
74', Henry B. ↓, McMahon S. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Miller A. ⚽, Woods A. (A),
88', Keane A. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
89', Hayashi M. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
90+6', Otto T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 1.

In recent matches, Brisbane Roar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Brisbane Roar has had a series of away games.

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne City is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar Women
Australian A-League Women
16.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
31.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	3:2 ✺
12.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTLL
- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
09.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne City - Sydney FC	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	3:1 ✺
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
26.03.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	0:4
11.01.25	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	2:0
02.03.24	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	2:0
28.12.23	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	5:3
02.12.22	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	3:0
24.02.22	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	0:1
29.01.22	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	1:2

Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide