The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Roar 42.9%
Draw 23.7%
Newcastle Jets 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
22.2%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
21.2%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Franco T. (G) 8. Studer J. 6. Cuthbert R. 7. Hayashi M. (C) 5. Medwin A. 32. Woods A. 14. Kruger Z. 11. Seidl M. 27. Miller A. 17. Jansen B. 3. Brown D.
12. Ritchie G. (G) 2. Wilson J. 3. Cicco C. 4. Prior N. 15. Bates E. 18. Hoban S. 10. Copus-Brown L. (C) 8. Dundas E. 14. Ayres M. 30. Collins A. 26. Allan J.
Substitutes
20. Campbell S. (G) 18. Kinsella A. 15. Meyers K. 22. Piazza A. 4. Stephenson K. 13. Yallop T.
13. Allan L. 50. Boertje A. (G) 44. Brown K. 23. Karipidis Z. 11. Lancaster C. 5. Page O.
Coaches
Smith A.
Hoyle S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Seidl M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
47', 1 - 0, Brown D. ⚽, Miller A. (A),
52', 2 - 0, Brown D. ⚽,
58', Miller A. 🟨,
60', Bates E. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Brown D. ⚽,
63', Miller A. ↓, Stephenson K. ↑,
66', Dundas E. 🟨,
68', Ayres M. ↓, Brown K. ↑,
68', Collins A. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
69', 4 - 0, Jansen B. ⚽, Brown D. (A),
73', 4 - 1, Prior N. ⚽, Brown K. (A),
73', Kruger Z. ↓, Yallop T. ↑,
74', Cuthbert R. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
89', Jansen B. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
90', 4 - 2, Hoban S. ⚽, Dundas E. (A),
90+2', Seidl M. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Brisbane Roar could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.9:1.7).