Match Info

A-League Women - Round 9

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Leichhardt Oval (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+


	Sydney FC		Brisbane Roar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.1
	2.88	3.4	2.12
	3.09	3.8	2.21
	2.79	3.78	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.05
	3.02	3.67	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)	2.14 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney FC
31.5%

Draw
25.7%

Brisbane Roar
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

24.6%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24.1%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sydney (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Sydney (1.97) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 3 - 60%). Brisbane Roar (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinz H. (G) 4. Tumeth T. 2. Ayson M. 16. Pearson W. 5. Fenton K. 15. Hawkesby M. (C) 7. Cassar A. 8. Lowry H. 14. Lemon A. 18. Luchtmeijer A. 13. Tanner R.	1. Lincoln C. (G) 5. Medwin A. 8. Studer J. 22. Piazza A. 11. Seidl M. 32. Woods A. 7. Hayashi M. (C) 27. Miller A. 17. Jansen B. 15. Meyers K. 3. Brown D.
Substitutes
17. Corbett C. 32. Galic B. 19. Halmarick S. 30. Robertson T. (G) 24. Tallon-Henniker C. 9. Ulkekul J.	6. Cuthbert R. 12. Franco T. (G) 47. Hanson K. 23. Hoyos I. 18. Kinsella A. 4. Stephenson K.
Coaches
Juric A.	Smith A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Brown D. ⚽, Jansen B. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Lowry H. ⚽, Hawkesby M. (A),
45+3', 1 - 2, Hayashi M. ⚽, Seidl M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Luchtmeijer A. ↓, Ulkekul J. ↑,
46', Ayson M. ↓, Tallon-Henniker C. ↑,
66', Lemon A. ↓, Galic B. ↑,
73', Jansen B. ↓, Stephenson K. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Hayashi M. ⚽, Stephenson K. (A),
75', Cassar A. ↓, Corbett C. ↑,
87', Meyers K. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Brisbane Roar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brisbane Roar could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
31.01.26	Sydney FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:3 ✺
28.01.26	Perth Glory - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
13.01.26	Sydney FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Sydney FC - Adelaide United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLT
- Brisbane Roar Women
Australian A-League Women
30.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Canberra United	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
02.03.25	Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar	3:2
09.11.24	Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC	1:0
22.12.23	Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar	1:1
21.10.23	Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC	1:0
30.12.22	Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC	1:4
10.12.22	Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar	4:0
02.02.22	Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar	2:0

Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide