The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 46.2%
Draw 28.4%
Shrewsbury Town 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
29.1%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
30.5%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Young B. (G) 17. Balmer K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 26. Harbottle R. 2. Senior J. 6. Mola C. 36. Smallwood R. 3. Sparkes J. 24. Leigh T. 29. Cavegn F. 27. Quigley J.
1. Cox M. (G) 16. Freeman N. 4. Anderson T. 5. Boyle W. (C) 26. Stubbs S. 30. Berkoe K. 20. Kabia I. 10. Sang T. 11. Scully A. 19. Morgan I. 9. Lloyd G.
Substitutes
10. Akhamrich Y. 15. De Havilland R. 19. Harrison E. 12. Lockyer T. 1. Southwood L. (G) 11. Thomas L. 14. Thompson-Sommers K.
3. Benning M. 12. Brook W. (G) 43. Gray W. 23. Lee I. 7. McDermott T. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
Coaches
Evans S.
Cowan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Harbottle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Morgan I. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
63', Harbottle R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
63', Cavegn F. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
63', Quigley J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Leigh T. ⚽,
80', Freeman N. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
86', Leigh T. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
88', Scully A. ↓, Gray W. ↑,
89', Stubbs S. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
90+11', McDermott T. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 19 and 18)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 3.
Bristol Rovers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shrewsbury's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Shrewsbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Bristol Rovers might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Red Card)
McEachran J.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L.
(Injury)
Perry T.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Bristol Rovers: 8.17% Shrewsbury: 0.72%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Bristol Rovers
10
5
0
5
15:17
-2
15
18
Shrewsbury
10
3
2
5
9:15
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.09%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.