Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Davies A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+


	Bristol Rovers		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.38
	2.75	3.6	2.35
	2.8	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.76	2.41
	2.8	3.85	2.41
	2.6	3.6	2.25
	2.77	3.76	2.35	Watch
	2.7	3.7	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.98)	3.73 ↑ (3.66)	2.36 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
34.6%

Draw
25.4%

Norwich City
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

25.7%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.7%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	11.8%	64.7%

Bristol Rovers - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Norwich will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Cox M. (G) 4. Grant J. 25. Crama T. 17. Taylor C. 11. Thomas L. 6. Finley S. (C) 21. Evans A. 19. Vale H. 23. McCormick L. 18. Martin C. 10. Collins A.	12. Long G. (G) 3. Stacey J. 21. Batth D. 6. Gibson B. 15. McCallum S. 19. Sorensen J. 23. McLean K. (C) 25. Hernandez O. 17. Gabriel Sara 27. Rowe J. 11. Idah A.
Substitutes
20. Brown J. 28. Gibbons J. 3. Gordon L. 35. Hall M. (G) 30. Hoole L. 42. Hunt J. 9. Marquis J. 37. Shaw K. 7. Sinclair S.	51. Ansen C. (G) 10. Barnes A. 16. Fassnacht C. 35. Fisher K. 8. Gibbs L. 28. Gunn A. (G) 26. Nunez M. 20. Placheta P. 7. Sainz B.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Wagner D.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
13.01.24	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Norwich City - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League One
01.01.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	3:2 ✺
29.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTLWW
- Norwich City
English League Championship
12.01.24	Hull City - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Norwich City - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.24	Norwich City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Millwall - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	West Bromwich Albion - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
06.01.24	Norwich City - Bristol Rovers	1:1

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