Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Norwich City		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.70	2.95
	2.24	3.65	2.82
	2.22	3.65	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.21)	3.67 ↑ (3.67)	2.86 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
42.1%

Draw
25.3%

Southampton
32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Norwich City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Southampton have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 17th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Norwich has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:29 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Norwich against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 10.62% Norwich: 5.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	16:17	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Norwich City - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.12%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
20.09.26	Norwich City - Bolton Wanderers	3:4 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.26	Manchester City - Norwich City	5:0 ✺
English League Championship
12.09.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	4:3 ✺
09.09.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sheffield United - Norwich City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
19.09.26	Wrexham - Southampton	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Southampton - Bristol City	4:1 ✺
08.09.26	Southampton - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lincoln City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.03.26	Southampton - Norwich City	1:0
13.12.25	Norwich City - Southampton	2:1
English League Cup
26.08.25	Norwich City - Southampton	0:3
English League Championship
01.01.24	Norwich City - Southampton	1:1
12.08.23	Southampton - Norwich City	4:4
English Premier League
25.02.22	Southampton - Norwich City	2:0
20.11.21	Norwich City - Southampton	2:1

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