Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Millwall		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.45
	2.23	3.31	3.26	Watch
	2.59	3.35	2.91
	2.43	3.39	2.89	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.8
	2.42	3.32	2.79	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.03)	3.37 ↓ (3.51)	2.77 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
37.5%

Draw
28.2%

Norwich City
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norwich City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norwich City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	16.7%	72.2%

Millwall - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Norwich will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Millwall (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Millwall (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norwich City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 40%). Norwich (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 17. Sykes M. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 14. Metcalfe J. 24. De Norre C. 10. Neghli C. 22. Lisbie K. 19. Coburn J. 7. Arconte T.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 35. Fisher K. 6. Darling H. 33. Cordoba J. 14. Chrisene B. 23. McLean K. (C) 26. Field S. 11. Brooks A. 20. Slimane A. 29. Schwartau O. 21. Toure M.
Substitutes
12. Baggott E. 31. Bangura-Williams R. 23. Batth D. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 13. Dykes L. 16. Kelly D. 29. Lovelace Z. 2. Osei-Tutu J.	19. Diallo P. A. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 30. Kvistgaarden M. 7. Mattsson P. 15. McConville R. 49. Musaba A. 3. Stacey J. 16. Wright J. 13. Yongwa D.
Coaches
Neil A.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Arconte T. ⚽,
25', Cordoba J. 🟨,
37', Darling H. 🟨,
40', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Arconte T. ⚽, Cooper J. (A),
60', Fisher K. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
60', Field S. ↓, Mattsson P. ↑,
60', Slimane A. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
64', Cordoba J. 🟨,
65', Schwartau O. ↓, McConville R. ↑,
71', Arconte T. ↓, Lovelace Z. ↑,
73', Brooks A. ↓, Musaba A. ↑,
77', Metcalfe J. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
78', Lisbie K. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
78', Coburn J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Cundle L. ⚽, Neghli C. (A),
86', De Norre C. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.

Millwall is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Norwich has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.

Recently, Norwich has had a series of home games.

Millwall could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Norwich: 2.42% Millwall: 2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16:15	1	14
18	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17:19	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Millwall - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
15.08.26	Bristol City - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Millwall - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	Bromley - Millwall	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Stevenage Borough - Millwall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTL
- Norwich City
English League Championship
15.08.26	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Norwich City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Norwich City - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Norwich City - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	AFC Wimbledon - Norwich City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.04.26	Millwall - Norwich City	1:2
09.08.25	Norwich City - Millwall	1:2
21.04.25	Millwall - Norwich City	3:1
26.12.24	Norwich City - Millwall	2:1
29.12.23	Millwall - Norwich City	1:0
20.08.23	Norwich City - Millwall	3:1
04.03.23	Millwall - Norwich City	2:3

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