The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 32.1%
Draw 27.6%
Bristol Rovers 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
26.2%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
25.4%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
37.5%
12.5%
Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 6. Offord L. 12. Stephenson J. 4. Ure K. 19. Lunt O. 10. White J. 7. Lankester J. 11. Tabiner J. 9. March J. 29. Thibaut A.
1. Young B. (G) 4. Balmer K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 17. Kelly C. 2. James T. 21. Smallwood R. 6. Mola C. 3. Sparkes J. 8. Russell-Denny R. 10. Kamwa B. 19. Harrison E.
Substitutes
30. Dancey S. 36. Ewusi J. 14. Gibson J. 13. Lawlor I. (G) 23. McNeill C. 32. Moore L. 8. Thomas C.
32. Binns C. (G) 7. Forde S. 22. Gough K. 14. Purrington B. 9. Quigley J. 27. Sanyaolu P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Lankester J. ⚽, Tabiner J. (A),
8', March J. 🟨,
8', James T. 🟨,
10', Stephenson J. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Lankester J. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Kelly C. 🟨,
38', Lunt O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Smallwood R. ↓, Gough K. ↑,
46', Kilgour A. ↓, Sanyaolu P. ↑,
46', Sparkes J. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
46', Russell-Denny R. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
50', Tabiner J. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
62', Lankester J. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Gibson J. ⚽, March J. (A),
74', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
77', Gough K. 🟨,
79', Thomas C. 🟨,
81', Thibaut A. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
89', Mola C. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Kamwa B. ⚽, Mola C. (A),
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Bristol Rovers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Crewe: Hutchinson R.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Bristol Rovers: Harbottle R.
(Injury).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Crewe has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Crewe against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.5:1.8 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Bristol Rovers: 9.6% Crewe: 4.64%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Crewe
9
3
6
0
11:7
4
15
5
Bristol Rovers
9
5
0
4
14:14
0
15
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.12%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
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Booth T. (G) 
Ure K. 
Thibaut A. 
Balmer K. 
James T. 
Kamwa B. 
