Match Info

League Two - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Massey-Ellis R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Shrewsbury Town		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.65
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.48	3.45	2.68
	2.46	3.42	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.7
	2.52	3.22	2.69	Watch
	2.57	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.25)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	2.7 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
37.1%

Draw
28.4%

Bristol Rovers
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	23.1%	53.8%

Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (2.13) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 4. Anderson T. 5. Boyle W. 20. Kabia I. 14. Perry T. 38. England I. 6. Clucas S. 11. Scully A. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)	1. Southwood L. (G) 2. Senior J. 35. Lopata K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 12. Lockyer T. 22. Conteh K. 14. Cotterill J. 3. Sparkes J. 7. Forde S. 29. Cavegn F. 11. Thomas L.
Substitutes
15. Aneke Ch. 3. Benning M. 43. Gray W. 1. Harrison E. (G) 7. McDermott T.	24. Chang A. 19. Harrison E. 25. Howley R. 6. Mola C. 4. Moore T. 10. Sotiriou R. 13. Young B. (G)
Coaches
Appleton M.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
43', Boyle W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Lopata K. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
51', Cotterill J. ↓, Chang A. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽,
67', England I. 🟨,
68', Moore T. 🟨,
72', England I. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
81', McDermott T. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Cavegn F. ⚽, Forde S. (A),
90+3', 0 - 3, Cavegn F. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
90+6', Cavegn F. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 22).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1.

Shrewsbury has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bristol Rovers has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Bristol Rovers: 9.6% Shrewsbury: 1.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bristol Rovers	9	5	0	4	14:14	0	15
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	9:14	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Bristol Rovers - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.61%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
29.12.25	Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTT
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
29.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Barnet	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Bromley	2:3 ✺
19.12.25	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	0:3 ✺
09.12.25	Barnet - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.03.25	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:0
22.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
01.04.24	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	0:0
16.09.23	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:2
02.05.23	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	2:1
27.08.22	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
27.02.21	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	2:1

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