The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 30.3%
Draw 28.9%
Bristol Rovers 40.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.5%
28%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
27%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Bristol Rovers (2.30) (votes: 80%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brook W. (G) 6. Stubbs S. 5. Boyle W. (C) 3. Ruffels J. 2. Hoole L. 10. Sang T. 7. Turner-Cooke J. 11. Berkoe K. 18. McMahon-Brown K. 9. Lloyd G. 13. Davison J.
1. Young B. (G) 2. James T. 4. Balmer K. 17. Kelly C. 14. Purrington B. 21. Smallwood R. (C) 6. Mola C. 7. Forde S. 22. Gough K. 10. Kamwa B. 29. Cavegn F.
Substitutes
8. Fletcher I. 20. Golding M. 21. Gray W. 32. Gregory C. (G) 17. Jude-Boyd A. 23. Lee I. 24. Sousa L.
28. Appiah A. 32. Binns C. (G) 19. Harrison E. 9. Quigley J. 8. Russell-Denny R. 27. Sanyaolu P. 3. Sparkes J.
Coaches
Cowan G.
Evans S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Forde S. 🟨,
16', Ruffels J. 🟨,
34', Evans S. 🟨,
43', Lloyd G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Smallwood R. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
58', Kamwa B. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
64', Gough K. 🟨,
68', Mola C. ↓, Russell-Denny R. ↑,
73', Kelly C. ↓, Sparkes J. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Lloyd G. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Turner-Cooke J. 🟥,
84', Davison J. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
84', McMahon-Brown K. ↓, Gray W. ↑,
88', Purrington B. 🟨,
90+4', Fletcher I. 🟥,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 18th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 0.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Bristol Rovers is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Shrewsbury: Price J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Bristol Rovers: Aitchison J.
(Inactive)
Harbottle R.
(Injury)
Leigh T.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Shrewsbury: Golding M.
(Inactive).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Shrewsbury has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shrewsbury against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Shrewsbury
13
5
3
5
16:20
-4
18
15
Bristol Rovers
13
5
1
7
16:20
-4
16
Outrights of English League Two for now
Bristol Rovers: 8.1% Shrewsbury: 2.11%
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.48%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Bristol Rovers - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.55%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Brook W. (G) 
Boyle W. (C) 
Hoole L. 
McMahon-Brown K. 
Balmer K. 
Kamwa B. 
Cavegn F. 
Jude-Boyd A. 
Lee I. 
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