Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 6

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.3
	2.15	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.19	3.25	3.65
	2.13	3.22	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.4
	2.15	3.42	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
43.8%

Draw
28.5%

Wigan Athletic
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

22.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Griffiths J. (G) 4. Moore T. 5. Wilson J. (C) 6. Mola C. 22. Conteh K. 11. Thomas L. 19. Hutchinson I. 14. Garrett J. 3. Sousa L. 10. Sotiriou R. 9. Omochere P.	1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Carragher J. 15. Kerr J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 3. Chambers L. 6. Weir J. 8. Smith M. 7. Rankine D. 10. Aasgaard T. 29. Thomas S. 9. Hugill J.
Substitutes
27. Bilongo B. 28. Forde S. 29. Lindsay J. 23. McCormick L. 24. O'Donkor G. 7. Sinclair S. 17. Taylor C.	16. Adeeko B. 37. Asamoah M. 20. McManaman C. 2. Ramsay C. 17. Sibbick T. 28. Taylor D. 12. Watson T. (G)
Coaches
Taylor M.	Maloney S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Hugill J. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Hugill J. ⚽,
44', Aasgaard T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hutchinson I. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
46', Sousa L. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
51', 0 - 3, Aasgaard T. ⚽,
61', Garrett J. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
61', Sotiriou R. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
66', Rankine D. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
69', Omochere P. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
71', 0 - 4, Chambers L. ⚽,
75', Aasgaard T. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
75', Smith M. ↓, Adeeko B. ↑,
76', Thomas S. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
80', Carragher J. ↓, Ramsay C. ↑,
84', Moore T. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Wigan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bristol Rovers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
07.09.24	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Stockport County - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Tottenham Hotspur U21	3:4 penalties ✺
English League One
17.08.24	Rotherham United - Bristol Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- Wigan Athletic
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Wigan Athletic - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English League One
31.08.24	Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Reading - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.04.24	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0
23.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	4:1
23.02.21	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	1:2
24.11.20	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	0:0
24.04.18	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	1:1
16.09.17	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	3:0

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