Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6.5
	1.44	4.6	6.5
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.44	4.73	7.09
	1.45	4.52	6.53	Watch
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.45	4.65	6.85	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.69 ↑ (4.6)	6.68 ↑ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
65.6%

Draw
20.2%

Wigan Athletic
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

19.2%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. 6. Bielik K. 20. Cochrane A. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 18. Willumsson W. T. 26. Harris L. 7. Hansson E. 9. May A.	1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Carragher J. 15. Kerr J. 4. Aimson W. 3. Chambers L. 16. Adeeko B. 8. Smith M. 7. Rankine D. 10. Aasgaard T. 29. Thomas S. 9. Hugill J.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 25. Davies B. 17. Dykes L. 12. Leonard M. 23. Sampsted A. 11. Wright S. 33. Yokoyama A.	22. Lonergan A. (G) 20. McManaman C. 5. Sessegnon S. 17. Sibbick T. 21. Smith S. 28. Taylor D. 37. Weir J.
Coaches
Davies C.	Maloney S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, May A. ⚽, Willumsson W. T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carragher J. ↓, Sessegnon S. ↑,
51', Laird E. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
52', Harris L. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
60', Hugill J. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
61', Adeeko B. ↓, Weir J. ↑,
61', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Aasgaard T. ⚽, Smith M. (A),
69', Tickle S. 🟨,
70', Smith M. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
70', Rankine D. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
74', Hansson E. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
74', May A. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
82', Kerr J. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Wright S. ⚽,
90+3', McManaman C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 0.

Birmingham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wigan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wigan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Cup
27.08.24	Birmingham City - Fulham	0:2 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Leyton Orient - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Birmingham City	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Birmingham City - Reading	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWT
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
24.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Reading - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Barrow - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.03.23	Wigan Athletic - Birmingham City	1:1
20.08.22	Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic	0:1
01.01.20	Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic	2:3
01.10.19	Wigan Athletic - Birmingham City	1:0
27.04.19	Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic	1:1
22.12.18	Wigan Athletic - Birmingham City	0:3
07.03.17	Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic	0:1

Upcoming Matches