Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Old Road (Briton Ferry)

Referee: Davies S. (Eng)


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Cardiff Metropolitan

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.4	2.48
	2.43	3.5	2.74
	2.58	3.56	2.53	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.51	3.28	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.38)	3.41 ↓ (3.64)	2.54 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
36.7%

Draw
27%

Cardiff Metropolitan
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

25.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fuller W. (G) 2. Bates L. 22. Bates M. 15. Cooper L. 23. Fanning J. 4. Gammond A. 3. Jenkins K. 12. Owen R. 10. Snaith S. 9. Walters T. 6. Williams K.	40. Griffiths E. (G) 16. Craven C. 3. Edwards J. 8. Kabongo D. 14. Morris J. 19. Mwandwe L. 17. Payne J. 33. Raison T. 11. Roscrow A. 21. Soady B. 4. Walsh L.
Substitutes
20. Anderson O. 7. Dyer R. 18. George R. 11. Hurford C. 21. Packer D. 8. Price T. 1. Wilson R. (G)	26. Good O. 20. John H. 29. Matthews H. 13. Seager S. (G) 28. Stephens J. 37. Sweetman M. 22. Williams J.
Coaches
Dyer A.	Jenkins R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
20', Mwandwe L. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Gammond A. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Walters T. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Jenkins K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Payne J. ↓, John H. ↑,
46', Bates L. ↓, George R. ↑,
50', Edwards J. 🟨,
51', 3 - 1, Roscrow A. ⚽,
68', Snaith S. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
68', John H. ↓, Good O. ↑,
75', Fuller W. ↓, Wilson R. ↑,
82', Walters T. ↓, Dyer R. ↑,

Preview

Briton Ferry is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cardiff Metropolitan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Briton Ferry won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Briton Ferry won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Briton Ferry: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cardiff Metropolitan	12	6	3	3	23:13	10	21
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12

Last Results with these Odds

Cardiff Metropolitan - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.03.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Flint Town United	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Llanelli - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWWW
- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.03.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Flint Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
16.03.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:2
16.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2
15.08.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1
26.12.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:3
23.08.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:5

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