The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Haverfordwest County 51.3%
Draw 27%
Cardiff Metropolitan 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
29.1%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
28.3%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haverfordwest County's performance.
Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Metropolitan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haverfordwest County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff Metropolitan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 6. Bacon J. 10. Hawkins D. 19. Kenniford K. 11. Makwiramiti P. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. (C) 4. Scotcher E. 18. Walters G.
40. Griffiths E. (G) 2. Chubb M. 15. Clarke J. 16. Craven C. 3. Edwards J. 7. Evans E. 8. Kabongo D. 19. Mwandwe L. 17. Payne J. 9. Rees L. 4. Walsh L.
Substitutes
16. Fox C. 24. Humphreys I. 5. Jones A. 20. Jones O. 34. McGuire D. 31. Rees L. (G) 21. Watkins A.
20. John H. 29. Matthews H. 14. Morris J. 33. Raison T. 11. Roscrow A. 13. Seager S. (G) 21. Soady B.
Coaches
Pennock T.
Jenkins R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Makwiramiti P. 🟨,
27', Rees L. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
39', Evans E. ↓, Soady B. ↑,
41', Craven C. 🟨,
45+4', Ahmun B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Kabongo D. 🟨,
67', Makwiramiti P. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Jones O. ⚽,
86', Edwards J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 2.
Haverfordwest is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cardiff Metropolitan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Haverfordwest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Haverfordwest could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
Watch
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Knott I. (G) 
Bacon J. 
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