Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Maimonides Park (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brooklyn		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.28
	3.28	3.09	2.4
	3.48	3.11	2.17	Watch
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.12	3.12	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.75)	3.05 ↑ (2.71)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brooklyn
29.2%

Draw
30.4%

Sacramento Republic
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

34%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

32.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brooklyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brooklyn than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brooklyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Brooklyn - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brooklyn will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee J. (G) 24. Frogson C. 92. Vancaeyezeele T. 6. Latinovich V. 3. Gabriel Alves 86. Okiyoshi T. 7. McNamara T. (C) 19. Stojanovic S. 11. Servania J. 56. Olney JR C. 35. Anderson M.	1. Vitiello D. (G) 15. Essel A. 6. Kleemann F. 4. Desmond L. (C) 22. Benitez M. 55. Ukaegbu C. 3. Spaulding R. 10. Rodriguez A. 20. Willey B. 7. Malango M. 11. Ajago F.
Substitutes
30. Burns L. (G) 95. Kante A. 27. Mangione P. 13. Nishikawa S. 29. Obregon J. 5. Pinto M. 4. Romeo R.	23. Cambridge B. 24. Casas J. 42. Chivukula R. 71. Edwards K. 2. Gurr J. 31. Randolph J. (G) 30. Rivas S. 17. Wanner D.
Coaches
LeBlanc M.	Collins N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Anderson M. ⚽,
37', Essel A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Essel A. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
60', Servania J. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
60', Stojanovic S. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
60', Ukaegbu C. ↓, Gurr J. ↑,
61', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
65', McNamara T. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
71', Malango M. ↓, Cambridge B. ↑,
71', Rodriguez A. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
85', Anderson M. ↓, Nishikawa S. ↑,
85', Olney JR C. ↓, Mangione P. ↑,
90+5', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Benitez M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent form of Brooklyn has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sacramento Republic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sacramento Republic could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brooklyn FC
USL Championship
11.04.26	Brooklyn - Charleston Battery	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Brooklyn - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Lexington - Brooklyn	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Brooklyn - Hartford Athletic	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Detroit City - Brooklyn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLL
- Sacramento Republic FC
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Minnesota United	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
11.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Valley 559 - Sacramento Republic	0:4 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWWL

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