Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.8	2.8
	2.65	2.8	2.7
	2.7	2.85	2.8
	2.94	2.79	2.85
	2.94	2.79	2.85
	2.7	2.88	2.7
	2.68	2.89	2.73
	2.8	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.52)	2.83 ↓ (3.02)	2.77 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
33.4%

Draw
32.9%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.6%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (G) 4. Aguirre C. 11. Castillo L. 5. Desio G. 3. Gamarra G. 6. Herranz N. 2. Masuero A. (C) 9. Modon S. 10. Nouet M. 7. Patrizio T. 8. Sproat M.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 7. Bisanz F. 9. Costantino I. 8. Dramisino A. 6. Evangelista F. 2. Gissi D. 11. Marinucci L. 10. Previtali N. 5. Requena J. 4. Rosales P. 3. Silva T.
Substitutes
13. Arrechea N. 20. Buter L. 15. Lovazzano L. 14. Luque M. 19. Nouet F. 12. Peralta A. (G) 18. Pulicastro F. 16. Sangiovani R. 17. Sosa S.	12. Galvan B. (G) 15. Gonzalez M. 13. Herrera T. 20. Maguicha D. 18. Medina N. 17. Paterson R. 19. Rios L. 14. Rueda M. 16. Vega G.
Coaches
Vico P.	Sciacqua M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Bisanz F. (Pen),
34', 0 - 2, Dramisino A. ⚽,
39', Evangelista F. ↓, Herrera T. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sproat M. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
46', Modon S. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Costantino I. ⚽,
58', Herrera T. 🟨,
59', 1 - 3, Pulicastro F. ⚽,
60', Marinucci L. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
60', Bisanz F. ↓, Rueda M. ↑,
66', Aguirre C. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
68', Previtali N. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Patrizio T. ⚽,
78', Herranz N. 🟨,
88', Patrizio T. ↓, Luque M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
25.03.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Chaco For Ever - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTTL
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Temperley	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Deportivo Morón - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:0 ✺
25.03.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
18.03.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.10.23	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1
05.06.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:2
31.07.22	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2
Argentinian Primera B
25.07.15	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	0:2
14.03.15	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	4:1
18.10.14	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:1

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