Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Unico de San Nicolas (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.7	Watch
	5.25	3.2	1.71
	5.25	3.15	1.7
	5	3.2	1.7
	6.38	3.39	1.68
	5.8	3.1	1.67
	6	3.32	1.6	Watch
	5.2	3.25	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (4.3)	3.26 ↑ (3.16)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
16.7%

Draw
28.4%

Belgrano
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

28.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

28.5%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	33.3%	47.6%

Brown de Adrogué - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Belgrano will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 26.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 22 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional).

Brown de Adrogué is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Belgrano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.09.22	Deportivo Riestra - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Brown de Adrogué - Güemes	1:1 ✺
05.09.22	All Boys - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
21.08.22	San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLT
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.09.22	Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
12.09.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Belgrano - Tristán Suárez	4:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.08.22	Godoy Cruz - Belgrano	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.08.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
27.07.16	Belgrano - Brown de Adrogué	1:0

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