Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 24

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.75
	2.1	2.87	3.6
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.23	2.88	3.99
	2.1	2.8	3.7
	2.2	2.9	3.88
	2.18	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)	2.91 ↓ (3.02)	3.7 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
43%

Draw
31.9%

Estudiantes de Caseros
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	72.7%	0%

Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez H. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Lopez T. 6. Kippes A. 3. Sayavedra R. 8. Sangiovani R. 5. Jerez Silva L. (C) 7. Belleggia L. 10. Perinciolo F. 9. Sandoval I. 11. Lavezzi A.	1. Vega M. (G) 4. Minervino D. 2. Bottino G. 6. Zarate N. 3. Fernandez N. 5. Lugo M. 7. Parisi L. J. 8. Mayorga S. 10. Acosta E. 11. Garnerone M. 9. Blanco T.
Substitutes
17. Da Campo N. 12. Diaz F. (G) 15. Lovazzano L. 13. Mayola E. 20. Mendoza J. 16. Nouet F. 18. Obregon B. 14. Pacchini J. 19. Vidal P.	12. Amade L. (G) 16. Brinone S. 20. Fagundez F. 18. Gonzalez J. N. 14. Lopez D. 13. Lorenzon F. 15. Lusnig L. 17. Nunez L. 19. Vera I.
Coaches
Vico P.	Otta W.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Brown de Adrogué could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brown de Adrogué will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.07.23	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
30.06.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLT
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
15.07.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
03.07.23	Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
26.07.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
Argentinian Primera B
19.09.15	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
02.05.15	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1
18.11.14	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0

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