Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 21

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Broggi J. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	4
	2.05	2.9	3.75
	2.15	2.95	3.65
	2.16	2.92	4.19
	2	2.88	3.9
	2.05	3.13	4	Watch
	2.13	2.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.17)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	3.88 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
44.5%

Draw
31.5%

Gimnasia Jujuy
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.1%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brown de Adrogué: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez H. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Kippes A. 6. Heredia M. 3. Sayavedra R. 7. Belleggia L. 5. Jerez Silva L. (C) 8. Da C. H. 11. Perinciolo F. 9. Lavezzi A. 10. Vidal P.	1. Chiarini J. (C) 4. Cazula A. 2. Pellerano H. 6. Hernandez S. 3. Cosaro G. 7. Juarez J. 5. Abet A. 8. Gonzalez E. 11. Endrizzi E. 10. Brandan F. 9. Miracco N.
Substitutes
12. Diaz F. (G) 13. Lopez T. 16. Lovazzano L. 20. Mendoza J. 18. Nouet F. 15. Pacchini J. 14. Sanchez A. 19. Sandoval I. 17. Sangiovani R.	19. Arganaraz P. 13. Cordoba J. 17. Denis N. 16. Maidana F. 18. Mateo J. 14. Nakache D. 15. Soria H. 12. Sosa A. (G) 20. Tevez J.
Coaches
Vico P.	Gomez M.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1.

Brown de Adrogué is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimnasia Jujuy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brown de Adrogué will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.06.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWWW
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.06.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Aldosivi - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:1 ✺
18.06.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
03.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
12.02.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Brown de Adrogué	3:3
16.10.21	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1
24.06.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
03.01.21	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1
21.02.20	Gimnasia Jujuy - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
31.08.19	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1

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