Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)


	Colón		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	6	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.63	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.5	6.12
	1.66	3.47	6.12
	1.55	3.8	5.85	Watch
	1.69	3.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.92)	3.48 ↑ (3.1)	5.68 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
56.7%

Draw
26.8%

Gimnasia y Tiro
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

30.6%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

30%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colón's performance.

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Colón - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Colón will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicentini M. (G) 4. Herrera E. 6. Lopes H. 2. Goltz P. 3. Castet F. 5. Prediger S. (C) 7. Talpone N. 8. Jourdan F. 10. Sabella A. 11. Lago I. 9. Rodriguez A.	1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Neira E. 6. Abello D. 3. Sanabria I. 11. Villarreal R. 8. Chamorro R. 5. Birge R. 10. Busse W. 7. Rojas F. 9. Gordillo L.
Substitutes
16. Bernardi C. 18. Delgadillo N. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 13. Guille B. 14. Henriquez F. 20. Leguizamon N. 15. Navas J. 17. Toledo J. 19. Vega C.	19. Araujo A. 20. Attis T. 14. Chaves A. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 17. Esparza M. 18. Fernandez E. 13. Galetto J. 16. Heredia F. 15. Narese E.
Coaches
Delfino I.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Villarreal R. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
26', Gordillo L. 🟨,
37', Rodriguez A. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Villarreal R. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
57', Chamorro R. 🟨,
60', Chamorro R. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
60', Chaves I. F. 🟨,
66', Sanabria I. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
69', Toledo J. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
86', Sabella A. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
86', Jourdan F. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
86', Birge R. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
88', Herrera E. 🟨,

Preview

Colón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gimnasia y Tiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Colón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Colón to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.03.24	Mitre - Colón	2:2 ✺
10.03.24	Colón - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Colón	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Colón - Patronato Parana	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Colón - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.03.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.03.24	Argentinos Juniors - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.03.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTWT

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