Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.1	3	3.7
	2.25	2.96	3.81
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.14	3.22	3.58
	2.18	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)	3.07 ↑ (2.97)	3.56 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
43.3%

Draw
30.4%

Gimnasia Jujuy
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

32.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Aldosivi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	36.4%	0%

Aldosivi - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldosivi: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 4. Iniguez E. 2. Callegari S. 6. Laquidain S. 3. Escobar I. 5. Bravo F. 8. Lucero R. 7. Cervera T. 10. Olivares J. 11. Curuchet F. 9. Riano C.	1. Chiarini J. (G) 4. Cazula A. 2. Pellerano H. 6. Cosaro G. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Nakache D. 5. Cordoba J. 7. Maidana F. 11. Casasola N. 10. Brandan F. 9. Miracco N.
Substitutes
12. Cabrera D. (G) 14. Chimino C. 13. Gonzalez A. 15. Guerra Brian 16. Maciel E. 17. Morello M. 20. Panaro M. 19. Pereyra F. 18. Torres E.	14. Abet A. 16. Gonzalez E. 13. Hernandez S. 17. Juarez J. 18. Mateo J. 20. Rodriguez G. 15. Soria H. 12. Sosa A. (G) 19. Tevez J.
Coaches
Quiroz F.	Gomez M.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 3.

Aldosivi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gimnasia Jujuy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimnasia Jujuy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aldosivi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
14.06.23	Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.06.23	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Aldosivi	3:2 ✺
20.05.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.06.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
03.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
22.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
12.05.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.02.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Aldosivi	1:1
08.04.18	Gimnasia Jujuy - Aldosivi	1:2
15.12.14	Gimnasia Jujuy - Aldosivi	0:1
07.12.14	Aldosivi - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0
01.10.14	Gimnasia Jujuy - Aldosivi	1:1
08.06.14	Gimnasia Jujuy - Aldosivi	3:1
06.12.13	Aldosivi - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0

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