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Current Win Probability
Brusque 24.5%
Draw 30.1%
Atlético Goianiense 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
30%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
28.5%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
30.8%
53.8%
Brusque - Atlético Goianiense Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 26.7% – 80.9%.
1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Adriano Martins 4. Alix Vinicius 6. Guilherme Romao 8. Baralhas 5. Roni 7. Daniel 11. Luiz Fernando 10. Shaylon 09. Derek
Substitutes
27. Diego Mathias 11. Diego Tavares 35. Georgemy (G) 17. Guilherme Queiroz 8. Jhemerson 12. Marcelo Nunes 99. Mateus Pivo 6. Matheus Salustiano 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 80. Osman 15. Ronei
19. Cruz A. 23. Gabriel Barros 17. Lucas Kal 14. Luiz Felipe 13. Maguinho 21. Max 15. Pedro Henrique 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 18. Rhaldney 16. Rodallega Y. 22. Rodriguez E. 20. Vagner Love
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes
Jair Ventura
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Baralhas 🟨,
34', Shaylon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shaylon ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
46', Baralhas ↓, Rhaldney ↑,
56', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Osman ↑,
56', Dentinho ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
70', Daniel ↓, Vagner Love ↑,
70', Derek ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
72', Olavio ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Gabriel Barros (A),
79', Marcos Serrato ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
79', Cristovam ↓, Mateus Pivo ↑,
82', Roni ↓, Lucas Kal ↑,
84', Rhaldney 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
Recent matches Brusque is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético GO is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético GO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Atlético GO will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.