Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 32

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Brusque		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.82	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.6
	2.3	2.8	3.6
	2.38	2.79	3.83
	2.35	2.68	3.73	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.6
	2.3	2.87	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.4)	2.77 ↓ (3)	3.62 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
40.6%

Draw
33.7%

CRB Maceio
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

30.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Brusque - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brusque: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 22. Cristovam 3. Ianson 4. Wallace 16. Torres J. 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 28. Paulinho 14. Gonzalez A. 27. Diego Mathias 9. Pollero R. 10. Dentinho	12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 4. Saimon 37. Wanderson 66. Ryan Carlos 98. Falcao 33. Joao Pedro 14. Chay 30. Labandeira F. 38. Leo Pereira 9. Anselmo Ramon (C)
Substitutes
70. Cauari 11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 12. Gabriel Pinheiro 35. Georgemy (G) 17. Guilherme Queiroz 30. Lorran 21. Luiz Henrique 33. Madison 19. Marcos Serrato 94. Paulinho Moccelin 15. Ronei	34. Darlisson 8. Gege 26. Gustavo Henrique 75. Kleiton 35. Marco Antonio 2. Matheus Ribeiro 7. Mike 10. Rafael Bilu 17. Romulo 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 13. Willian Formiga
Coaches
Marcelo Cabo	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Dentinho 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Pollero R. ⚽,
39', Cristovam ↓, Ronei ↑,
45', Diego Mathias 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Falcao ↓, Gege ↑,
66', Ryan Carlos ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
66', Chay ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Labandeira F. ⚽, Gege (A),
74', Gege 🟨,
76', Gonzalez A. ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
76', Paulinho ↓, Marcos Serrato ↑,
76', Dentinho ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
83', Labandeira F. ↓, Kleiton ↑,
83', Hereda ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Matheus Ribeiro ⚽,
88', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,
88', Rodolfo Potiguar ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Brusque will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.24	Brusque - Ituano	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Avaí - Brusque	0:0 ✺
27.09.24	Ceará - Brusque	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Brusque - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
17.09.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLWL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.24	Guarani - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	CRB Maceio - Paysandu	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
19.09.24	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.07.24	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1
25.10.22	Brusque - CRB Maceio	0:0
16.07.22	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1
15.11.21	Brusque - CRB Maceio	1:0
12.08.21	CRB Maceio - Brusque	3:0

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