Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 27

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	7	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6.25
	1.55	3.6	7
	1.56	3.65	7.71
	1.53	3.47	8.07	Watch
	1.5	3.7	7
	1.54	3.74	6.75	Watch
	1.55	3.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	3.62 ↑ (3.54)	7.1 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
60.9%

Draw
25.9%

Brusque
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

26.3%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

25.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Brusque will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jordi (G) 3. Rafael Donato (C) 37. Cesar Martins 4. Patrick 2. Rodrigo Soares 5. Geovane 21. Eduardo 19. Leo Tocantins 7. Rodolfo 77. Fabricio Daniel 70. Pablo Dyego	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 15. Ronei 3. Ianson 4. Wallace (C) 16. Torres J. 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 28. Paulinho 10. Dentinho 27. Diego Mathias 17. Guilherme Queiroz 94. Paulinho Moccelin
Substitutes
1. Airton (G) 14. Danilo Barcelos 26. Dantas 31. Igor Formiga 99. Lucas Cardoso 12. Lucas Pereira (G) 28. Marlon 6. Pedro Balotelli 22. Raul Prata 33. Renato 16. Reverson 15. Rodrigues E.	11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 12. Gabriel Pinheiro 35. Georgemy (G) 14. Gonzalez A. 18. Keke 6. Lima G. 30. Lorran 33. Madison 77. Ocampo M. 80. Osman
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Marcelo Cabo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Rafael Donato ⚽, Rodrigo Soares (A),
45', Patrick 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Geovane ↓, Marlon ↑,
46', Leo Tocantins ↓, Danilo Barcelos ↑,
58', Dentinho 🟨,
65', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Osman ↑,
66', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
76', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
78', Paulinho ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
79', Torres J. ↓, Madison ↑,
82', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
88', Rodolfo Potiguar ↓, Keke ↑,
89', Pablo Dyego ↓, Reverson ↑,
90+2', Marlon 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Novorizontino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brusque is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brusque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novorizontino is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Neto Pessoa (Red Card) Rodrigues E. (Injury) Vitinho (Injury)

There will not play in Brusque: Marcelo Nunes (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
13.09.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
20.08.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLW
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.09.24	Brusque - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Brusque - Santos	0:1 ✺
02.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Brusque - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
21.08.24	Goiás - Brusque	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.06.24	Brusque - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0
18.10.22	Brusque - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2
06.07.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brusque	1:0

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