Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet+


	Brusque		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.75
	2.35	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.42	3.3	3.14
	2.4	3.02	3.1	Watch
	2.35	2.75	3
	2.37	2.8	3.03
	2.34	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.23)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
38.5%

Draw
30.4%

Ferroviária
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

31.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Brusque - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 5. Bernardo 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 2. Jeferson (C) 3. Joao Maistro 10. Joao Pedro 9. Marlyson 11. Petterson Novaes 6. Raimar	31. Denis Junior (G) 10. Albano 8. Alencar 44. Carlao 29. Eduardo Oliveira 77. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 99. Maranhao 18. Rafael Carillho 11. Vitor Barreto (C) 40. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
24. Alex Paulino 18. Alvaro 8. Ariel 21. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 19. Macario 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 20. Pedro Martins 22. Pedro Medeiros 15. Rafael Milhorim 13. Renan 14. Ryan Santos	21. Alan Stence 9. Denilson Chaves 36. Douglas Skilo 12. Fabio Rampi (G) 7. Fau 15. Fernandinho 4. Guilherme Ferreira 30. Raoni 6. Rhuan 5. Ricardinho 23. Schilling Arthur 19. Thiago M.
Coaches
Higo	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Eduardo Oliveira (Own goal),
22', Eduardo Oliveira 🟨,
32', Joao Pedro 🟨,
33', Bernardo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Jeferson 🟨,
52', Juninho 🟨,
62', Juninho ↓, Thiago M. ↑,
69', Raimar ↓, Davi Gabriel ↑,
69', Joao Pedro ↓, Ariel ↑,
74', Maranhao ↓, Denilson Chaves ↑,
75', Rafael Carillho ↓, Schilling Arthur ↑,
78', Marlyson ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
79', Petterson Novaes ↓, Clinton ↑,
79', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
79', Alencar ↓, Alan Stence ↑,
80', Pedro Martins 🟨,
85', Adrianinho 🟨,
85', Alan Stence 🟨,
87', Bernardo ↓, Alex Paulino ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Denilson Chaves ⚽,
90+1', Gazao 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 3rd and 1st in the Promotion ~ Serie B).

Brusque has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ferroviária shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Brusque has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95% Brusque: 10.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Brusque - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.4%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
20.09.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Brusque - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Paysandu - Brusque	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Guarani - Brusque	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Brusque - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTWTT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
20.09.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ferroviária - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	3:3 ✺
29.08.26	Ferroviária - Confiança	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
20.09.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	3:2
17.05.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	1:0

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