Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 3

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)


	Brusque		Goiás

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.87	2.35
	3.2	3	2.35
	3.54	2.77	2.53
	3.1	3	2.38
	3.21	3.04	2.36
	3.15	2.9	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.88)	2.93 ↓ (3.13)	2.4 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
29.1%

Draw
31.9%

Goiás
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

29.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Brusque - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 3. Ianson 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 4. Wallace 22. Cristovam 7. Dionisio 19. Marcos Serrato 66. Alex Ruan 17. Guilherme Queiroz 94. Paulinho Moccelin 80. Osman	23. Tadeu (G) 14. Lucas Ribeiro 4. David Braz (C) 19. Edson 20. Diego 8. Rafael Gava 77. Marcao Silva 6. Sander 31. Welliton 33. Thiago Galhardo 7. Paulo Baya
Substitutes
10. Dentinho 27. Diego Mathias 70. Diego Tavares 35. Georgemy (G) 8. Jhemerson 18. Keke 12. Marcelo Nunes 99. Mateus Pivo 6. Matheus Salustiano 20. Mauricio Ribeiro 9. Olavio	18. Breno Herculano 12. Cristiano 2. Douglas Borel 21. Jhonny Lucas 88. Luiz Henrique 70. Nathan Melo 17. Pedrinho 34. Sidimar 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 11. Torres I. 5. Wellington 3. Yan Souto
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Diego 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Paulo Baya ⚽,
18', Cristovam ↓, Mateus Pivo ↑,
20', Ianson 🟨,
23', Wallace ↓, Matheus Salustiano ↑,
30', Alex Ruan 🟨,
32', Welliton 🟨,
35', Dionisio 🟨,
45', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diego ↓, Douglas Borel ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Marcao Silva ⚽,
57', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Dentinho ↑,
57', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Olavio ↑,
58', Alex Ruan ↓, Marcelo Nunes ↑,
68', Rafael Gava ↓, Jhonny Lucas ↑,
68', Welliton ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
76', Jhonny Lucas 🟨,
84', Paulo Baya ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,

Preview

Brusque is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Goiás is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Goiás: Messias (Injury) Regis (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Brusque - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.24	Coritiba - Brusque	1:0 ✺
23.04.24	Brusque - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
06.04.24	Criciúma - Brusque	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Brusque - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTL
- Goiás EC
Copa do Brasil
02.05.24	Goiás - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.24	Goiás - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ceará - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
24.03.24	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.11.21	Goiás - Brusque	2:2
19.08.21	Brusque - Goiás	0:1

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