Match Info

Date: 17 September 2021, Friday


	Brusque		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.87	3.3
	2.25	2.88	3.15	Watch
	2.17	2.95	3.45
	2.26	3.1	3.72
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.2	3.18	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.46)	2.98 ↓ (2.99)	3.4 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
41.6%

Draw
31.1%

Vitória Salvador
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

21.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brusque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brusque - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Brusque is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vitória is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
07.09.21	Coritiba - Brusque	4:0 ✺
03.09.21	Brusque - Avaí	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Brusque - Londrina	0:0 ✺
22.08.21	Ponte Preta - Brusque	3:0 ✺
19.08.21	Brusque - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.21	Vitória Salvador - Remo	1:2 ✺
04.09.21	Operário Ferroviario - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
29.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Vitória Salvador - Guarani	1:0 ✺
18.08.21	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.06.21	Vitória Salvador - Brusque	3:1

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