Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 16

Date: 10 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)


	Vila Nova		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.6
	1.84	3.1	4.5
	1.85	3.26	5.3
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.81	3.34	4.85	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.05)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	4.71 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
51.3%

Draw
29%

Vitória Salvador
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Denis Junior (G) 2. Leo Duarte 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Doma 6. Rodrigo 8. Ralf 15. Sousa 11. Everton Brito 77. Guilherme Parede 19. Caio Dantas 9. Neto Pessoa	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 2. Railan 13. Camutanga 4. Wagner Leonardo 6. Felipe Vieira 5. Rodrigues E. 8. Gege 10. Giovanni Augusto 7. Mateus Goncalves 9. Leo Gamalho 11. Osvaldo (C)
Substitutes
18. Cristiano 16. Diego Renan 23. Igor Henrique 10. Lourenco 20. Luciano Naninho 22. Marcelinho 4. Marcondes 7. Marlone 21. Rian 17. Ronald 14. Ulisses 1. Vanderlei (G)	20. Diego Torres 3. Joao Victor 21. Jose Hugo 15. Leo Gomes 16. Marcelo Nunes 19. Matheuzinho 22. Santiago Trellez 18. Thiago Lopes 12. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 17. Wellington Nem 14. Yan Souto
Coaches
Oliveira C.	Conde L.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 5).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

There will not play in Vitória: Dionisio (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Matheuzinho (Injury) Railan (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
01.07.23	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
27.06.23	Vila Nova - Tombense	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	0:3 ✺
18.06.23	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Vila Nova - Guarani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWLT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.23	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Guarani - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
06.06.23	Tombense - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.11.21	Vitória Salvador - Vila Nova	0:1
18.08.21	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	0:0
03.09.19	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	0:2
04.05.19	Vitória Salvador - Vila Nova	2:1

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