Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Colombia	Win play
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	U-NEXT
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar 2, M+ LaLiga 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Venevision Play, Venevision


	Burgos		Getafe

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.7	2.15	Watch
	3.95	2.62	2.22
	4.27	2.74	2.27
	3.87	2.53	2.44	Watch
	3.9	2.63	2.25	Watch
	4.13	2.77	2.34	Watch
	4	2.62	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.96)	2.66 ↓ (3.16)	2.28 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
23.3%

Draw
35.4%

Getafe
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.5%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos's form might have worsened.

Getafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	35.3%	58.8%

Burgos - Getafe Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Getafe will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Getafe: 32% – 80.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Burgos (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Getafe (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Getafe will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Getafe (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Bunuel A. 36. Martinez I. 28. del Cerro S. 22. Martinez B. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 5. Atienza M. (C) 17. Cantero M. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 11. Mollejo V.	1. Letacek J. (G) 12. Nyom A. (C) 3. Abqar A. 32. Laso L. 16. Rico D. 18. Alex Sancris 4. Neyou Y. 14. Javier Munoz 41. Montes J. 9. Mayoral B. 7. Juanmi
Substitutes
13. Cantero A. (G) 19. Chapela I. 18. Cordoba A. 21. Cordoba I. 16. Curro 33. Exposito M. 2. Lizancos A. 12. Miguel F. 34. Nsukula G. 8. Sierra G. 32. Ventosa E.	8. Arambarri M. 31. Bekhoucha I. 2. Djene 22. Duarte D. 37. Joselu 17. Kiko Femenia 23. Liso A. 6. Martin M. 5. Milla L. 34. Solozabal H. 13. Soria D. (G)
Coaches
Ramis L.	Bordalas Jimenez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Abqar A. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Alex Sancris ⚽, Juanmi (A),
45+3', Laso L. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Juanmi ↓, Liso A. ↑,
46', Neyou Y. ↓, Milla L. ↑,
46', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
47', Cantero M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Cordoba I. ⚽, Mollejo V. (A),
59', Nyom A. ↓, Kiko Femenia ↑,
69', Atienza M. 🟨,
69', Liso A. 🟨,
71', Javier Munoz ↓, Solozabal H. ↑,
71', Mollejo V. ↓, Curro ↑,
71', Gonzalez M. ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
72', Cordoba I. 🟨,
73', 3 - 1, Cordoba I. ⚽,
75', Mayoral B. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Garcia F. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
88', Cantero M. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
90+4', Martinez B. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Getafe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Getafe might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Getafe - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.25%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Almería - Burgos	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Ceuta - Burgos	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWLL
- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Getafe - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Villarreal - Getafe	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Navalcarnero - Getafe	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.11.25	Getafe - Elche	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

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