Match Info

LaLiga - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Villarreal		Getafe

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.55	5.4	Watch
	1.67	3.71	6.35
	1.71	3.6	5.45	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.5
	1.76	3.76	5.53	Watch
	1.64	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)	3.63 ↓ (3.78)	5.64 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
56.7%

Draw
26.4%

Getafe
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

25.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.1%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Getafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	11.9%	6%

Villarreal - Getafe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (54 of 65 users predict this - 83.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.97% – 92.19%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 26. Navarro P. 8. Foyth J. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 17. Buchanan T. 10. Parejo D. (C) 14. Comesana S. 20. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A. 9. Mikautadze G.	13. Soria D. (C) 21. Iglesias J. 22. Duarte D. 2. Djene 12. Nyom A. 17. Kiko Femenia 5. Milla L. 8. Arambarri M. 6. Martin M. 23. Liso A. 9. Mayoral B.
Substitutes
11. Akhomach I. 3. Altimira A. 13. Conde D. (G) 38. Diatta A. 37. Macia C. 4. Marin R. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N. 6. Solomon M. 25. Tenas A. (G) 27. Valou J.	3. Abqar A. 18. Alex Sancris 20. da Costa C. 14. Javier Munoz 7. Juanmi 11. Kamara A. 32. Laso L. 1. Letacek J. (G) 41. Montes J. 4. Neyou Y. 16. Rico D. 34. Solozabal H.
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Bordalas Jimenez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Nyom A. 🟨,
45+3', Martin M. 🟨,
45+4', Bordalas Jimenez J. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Buchanan T. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nyom A. ↓, Rico D. ↑,
48', Milla L. 🟥,
51', Parejo D. ↓, Macia C. ↑,
57', Arambarri M. 🟨,
63', Macia C. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Mikautadze G. ⚽,
70', Moleiro A. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
70', Perez A. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
71', Pepe N. 🟨,
75', Kiko Femenia ↓, Alex Sancris ↑,
75', Liso A. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
75', Duarte D. ↓, Abqar A. ↑,
80', Mikautadze G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
80', Buchanan T. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
81', Arambarri M. ↓, Solozabal H. ↑,
90+1', Rico D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.

Villarreal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Getafe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Villarreal is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Gueye P. (Yellow Cards) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno G. (Injury)

There will not play in Getafe: Davinchi (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Mourino S. (Injury) Partey T. (Injury)

We predict that Villarreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Antoniano - Villarreal	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Villarreal - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW
- Getafe CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Navalcarnero - Getafe	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.11.25	Getafe - Elche	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mallorca - Getafe	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Getafe - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.03.25	Getafe - Villarreal	1:2
20.10.24	Villarreal - Getafe	1:1
16.02.24	Villarreal - Getafe	1:1
30.09.23	Getafe - Villarreal	0:0
27.02.23	Villarreal - Getafe	2:1
28.08.22	Getafe - Villarreal	0:0
16.04.22	Getafe - Villarreal	1:2

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