Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Numancia		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.05	2.85	Watch
	3.79	1.83	3.78	Watch
	2.53	3.07	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.95)	2.77 ↓ (3.3)	3.07 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
34.2%

Draw
34.6%

Arenas Club de Getxo
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.5%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Club de Getxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Numancia - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Arenas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Numancia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arenas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abad M. (G) 2. Sanchez M. 5. De Frutos O. 4. Oliveira I. 3. Bonilla J. (C) 6. Lucas Rey N. 8. Gning M. 21. Delgado C. 14. Gil A. 26. Godson C. 10. Juancho	1. Gastesi O. (G) 24. Boriko S. 4. Alvarez P. 21. Sillero J. (C) 5. Garcia P. 22. Mattheus C. 10. Hidalgo A. 19. Mutilva C. 15. Diocou B. 7. Collado U. 11. Troncho A.
Substitutes
23. Buyla J. 17. Garcia A. 18. Gonzalez B. 9. Jony 7. Matos H. 27. Neves A. 30. Oliynyk O. (G) 11. Pena H.	18. Honrado A. 12. Lartitegi J. 14. Messina F. 13. Pena A. (G) 17. Rodriguez J. L. 23. Sustatxa A. 9. Vazquez A. 16. Verde A. 20. Zabaleta E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Lucas Rey N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Godson C. ↓, Jony ↑,
46', Gil A. ↓, Pena H. ↑,
58', Hidalgo A. ↓, Verde A. ↑,
63', Lucas Rey N. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,
64', Troncho A. ↓, Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Bonilla J. (Pen),
74', 2 - 0, Jony ⚽, Bonilla J. (A),
75', Boriko S. ↓, Lartitegi J. ↑,
75', Mattheus C. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
76', Mutilva C. ↓, Sustatxa A. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Juancho ⚽,
80', Juancho ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
80', Sanchez M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,

Preview

Numancia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arenas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Numancia - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Numancia - Sámano	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sarriana - Numancia	4:2 ✺
28.09.25	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTLW
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ferrol - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Lugo	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTLW

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