Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Chang Arena (Buriram)

Referee: Al Hoaish M. (Sau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Buriram United		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.3
	2.95	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.08	3.46	2.31
	3.04	3.47	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	3.12	3.4	2.29	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.99)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buriram United
31.3%

Draw
27.3%

Kawasaki Frontale
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

28.3%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	41.7%	41.7%

Buriram United - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (G) 40. Tabinas J. 16. Dougall K. 92. Kim Min-Hyeok 11. Cools D. 6. Good C. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 5. Bunmathan T. (C) 10. Lucas Crispim 23. Causic G. 9. Jaided S.	1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 2. Takai K. 5. Sasaki A. 11. Kobayashi Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 77. Yamamoto Y. 35. Maruyama Y. 26. Yamauchi H. 30. Segawa Y. 9. Erison
Substitutes
7. Bissoli 17. Charalampous C. 44. Chotmuangpak T. 19. Chrigor 20. Djalo M. 3. Hemviboon P. 8. Maikami R. 95. Ratree S. 18. Stephen Berg A. 75. Wannabutr P. (G) 15. Weerawatnodom N.	22. Hayasaka Y. (G) 44. Haydar C. 4. Jesiel 32. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 34. Kota Y. 7. Kurumaya S. 15. Tanabe S. 17. Tono D. 31. Wermeskerken S. V. 20. Yamada S. 98. Yamaguchi L. (G)
Coaches
Loss O.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Dougall K. 🟨,
24', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
63', Yamauchi H. ↓, Tono D. ↑,
63', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
76', Jaided S. ↓, Bissoli ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Miura S. ⚽, Segawa Y. (A),
83', Maruyama Y. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
83', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
85', Bunmathan T. ↓, Weerawatnodom N. ↑,
85', Sukjitthammakul P. ↓, Chrigor ↑,
88', Chrigor 🟨,
90+3', Erison ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Tono D. ⚽, Yamada S. (A),
90+7', 0 - 3, Kanda S. ⚽, Tono D. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
22.11.24	Buriram United - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Rayong FC - Buriram United	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Buriram United	5:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
30.10.24	Lampang - Buriram United	1:2 ✺
Thai League 1
26.10.24	Buriram United - Lamphun Warriors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLWT
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
22.11.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.11.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLL

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