Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Sports18 3, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Kawasaki Frontale		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.9	3.7
	1.87	4	3.5	Watch
	1.9	4.23	3.59
	2.09	3.93	3	Watch
	1.8	3.9	3.5
	1.9	4.05	3.62	Watch
	1.87	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.91)	4 ↑ (3.85)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
49.6%

Draw
23.5%

Shanghai Port
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Shanghai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Kawasaki Frontale - Shanghai Port Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 31. Wermeskerken S. V. 35. Maruyama Y. (C) 5. Sasaki A. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 77. Yamamoto Y. 30. Segawa Y. 41. Ienaga A. 17. Tono D. 9. Erison	1. Yan Junling (G) 4. Wang Shenchao 13. Wei Zhen 3. Browning T. 31. Bao Shimeng 20. Yang Shiyuan 8. Oscar (C) 16. Xu Xin 9. Gustavo 27. Feng Jing 30. Popp W.
Substitutes
22. Hayasaka Y. (G) 4. Jesiel 32. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 11. Kobayashi Y. 34. Kota Y. 24. Miyagi T. 10. Oshima R. 15. Tanabe S. 20. Yamada S. 98. Yamaguchi L. (G) 26. Yamauchi H.	6. Cai Huikang 12. Chen Wei (G) 25. Du Jia (G) 23. Fu Huan 18. Leo Cittadini 2. Li Ang 32. Li Shuai 33. Liu Zhurun 11. Lu Wenjun 10. Vargas M. 19. Wang Zhenao
Coaches
Oniki T.	Muscat K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', Wang Shenchao 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Ienaga A. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Segawa Y. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Wermeskerken S. V. ⚽, Erison (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Feng Jing ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
46', Browning T. ↓, Li Shuai ↑,
46', Bao Shimeng ↓, Li Ang ↑,
46', Oscar 🟨,
48', Wei Zhen 🟨,
64', Erison ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
64', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Oshima R. ↑,
74', Wang Shenchao ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
77', Yang Shiyuan 🟨,
79', Segawa Y. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
79', Tono D. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
81', Gustavo ↓, Lu Wenjun ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Vargas M. ⚽, Oscar (A),
85', Sasaki A. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
86', Ienaga A. 🟨,
90', Ienaga A. 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Kawasaki has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shanghai Port is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shanghai Port could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kawasaki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
01.11.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
18.10.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.10.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL
- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
02.11.24	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	5:0 ✺
27.10.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.24	Shanghai Port - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.10.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Shanghai Port	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
07.05.19	Kawasaki Frontale - Shanghai Port	2:2
06.03.19	Shanghai Port - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0
04.04.18	Shanghai Port - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1
13.02.18	Kawasaki Frontale - Shanghai Port	0:1

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