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Current Win Probability
Kawasaki Frontale 38%
Draw 26%
Kashima Antlers 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
25.5%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
25.8%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Kashima will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 5. Sasaki A. 4. Pedro Romano 3. Taniguchi H. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 97. Derik Lacerda
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 25. Koike R. 55. Ueda N. (C) 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 7. Ogawa R. 27. Matsumura Y. 23. Tsukui K. 8. Matheus Bueno 40. Suzuki Y. 34. Tokuda H. 9. Leo Ceara
Substitutes
41. Ienaga A. 19. Kawahara S. 28. Maruyama Y. 20. Mochiyama K. 34. Osa R. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 22. Uremovic F. 29. Yamahara R. 25. Yamaichi S.
77. Cavric A. 4. Chida K. 37. Hirose R. 6. Misao K. 19. Omori S. 10. Shibasaki G. 21. Yamada T. (G) 18. Yan 30. Yoshida M.
Coaches
Hasebe S.
Oniki T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Oniki T. 🟨,
37', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
43', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Matheus Bueno ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
46', Tokuda H. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
46', Tsukui K. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
60', Misao K. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Cavric A. (A),
67', Marcinho ↓, Osa R. ↑,
70', Koike R. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
82', Suzuki Y. ↓, Yan ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Matsumura Y. ⚽,
84', Derik Lacerda ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
86', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
86', Ito T. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
90+1', Pedro Romano 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 3, Pedro Romano ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1.
Kawasaki is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kashima has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kawasaki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Kawasaki: Ienaga A.
(Calf Injury)
Kobayashi Y.
(Calf Injury)
Miyagi T.
(Inactive)
Romanic L.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Higuchi Y.
(Leg Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kawasaki has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:22 (averaging 1.7:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kawasaki against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 19:12 goals (averaging 1.9:1.2 per game).
China
Japan
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Brodersen S. (G) 
Sasaki A. 
Pedro Romano 
Kim Tae-Hyeon 
Uremovic F. 
Cavric A. 
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