Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burnley		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3.2
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.42	3.15	3.2
	2.4	3.21	3.39
	2.42	3.07	3.08	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
	2.49	3.26	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.1)	3.16 ↓ (3.45)	3.22 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
40.2%

Draw
30.2%

Sunderland
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	39.3%	28.6%

Burnley - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Sunderland will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.2% – 57.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Sunderland (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Sunderland (votes: 7 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. 5. Esteve M. 18. Ekdal H. 3. Hartman Q. 8. Ugochukwu L. 24. Cullen J. (C) 7. Bruun Larsen J. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 9. Foster L.	22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Hume T. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 19. Diarra H. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 7. Talbi C. 12. Mayenda E. 24. Adingra S.
Substitutes
10. Edwards M. 19. Flemming Z. 29. Laurent J. 23. Lucas Pires 21. Ramsey A. 22. Sonne O. 17. Tchaouna L. 13. Weiss M. (G) 4. Worrall J.	9. Guiu M. 18. Isidor W. 28. Le Fee E. 26. Masuaku A. 4. Neil D. 1. Patterson A. (G) 11. Rigg C. 10. Roberts P. 23. Seelt J.
Coaches
Parker S.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Ballard D. ↓, Seelt J. ↑,
19', Adingra S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Cullen J. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
63', Talbi C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
63', Adingra S. ↓, Le Fee E. ↑,
63', Mayenda E. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
69', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
69', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
80', Diarra H. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
83', Mejbri H. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
83', Esteve M. ↓, Worrall J. ↑,
86', Foster L. ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Anthony J. ⚽, Cullen J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.

Burnley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sunderland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Burnley has had a series of away games.

Burnley might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Thigh Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) O'Nien L. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Broja A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Flemming Z. (Health problems) Tuanzebe A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Masuaku A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
16.08.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Burnley	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Burnley - Lazio	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Stoke City - Burnley	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Shrewsbury Town - Burnley	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Huddersfield Town - Burnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
16.08.25	Sunderland - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Sunderland - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Augsburg - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Sunderland - Betis	0:1 ✺
29.07.25	Hull City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.01.25	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0
24.08.24	Sunderland - Burnley	1:0
31.03.23	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0
22.10.22	Sunderland - Burnley	2:4
English League Cup
28.08.19	Burnley - Sunderland	1:3
English Premier League
18.03.17	Sunderland - Burnley	0:0
English FA Cup
17.01.17	Burnley - Sunderland	2:0

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