Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)


	Burton Albion		Everton U21

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.8	6.64
	1.41	4.75	6.2
	1.42	4.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.64)	4.78 ↑ (4)	6.29 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
65.7%

Draw
19.5%

Everton U21
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

22.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

19.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burton Albion's performance.

Everton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Everton U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton U21 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Everton U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Burton Albion - Everton U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Everton U21 will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Blackman J. (G) 37. Hamer T. 5. Hughes S. 6. Sweeney R. 3. Seddon S. 17. Helm M. 4. Oshilaja A. (C) 10. Gordon J. 7. Powell J. 11. Bennett M. 14. Walker J.	43. Francis Crellin W. (G) 75. Quintyne R. 38. Astley R. 73. Campbell E. 58. Hunt M. 70. Kouyate K. 86. Metcalfe J. 62. Onyango T. 69. Butterfield L. (C) 67. Sherif M. 88. Okoronkwo F.
Substitutes
24. Baah K. 22. Caprice J. 16. Chauke K. 1. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Gilligan C. 8. Harper R. 40. Tamen W.	52. Barrett J. (G) 91. Beaumont-Clark J. 54. Butler J. 82. Djankpata H. 83. Heath I. 72. Moonan B. 85. Patterson J.
Coaches
Maamria D.	Tait P.

Preview

Recent matches Burton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Everton U21 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Burton is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
23.09.23	Burton Albion - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	Port Vale - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Barnsley - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Burton Albion - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLLT
- Everton U21
English Premier League 2
22.09.23	Everton U21 - Norwich City U21	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Doncaster Rovers - Everton U21	2:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
01.09.23	West Ham United U21 - Everton U21	3:1 ✺
25.08.23	Everton U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	0:4 ✺
18.08.23	Middlesbrough U21 - Everton U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
01.10.19	Burton Albion - Everton U21	0:2

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