The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 51.9%
Draw 25.3%
Exeter City 22.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.5%
25.5%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
25%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Burton Albion - Exeter City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 45% โ 100%.
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 18. Moon J. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 8. Webster C. 4. Chauke K. 3. Armer J. 42. Cannon A. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
23. Bycroft J. (G) 2. McMillan J. 40. James E. 26. Sweeney P. (C) 21. Andrew D. 45. Cummins C. 29. McDonald K. 14. Niskanen I. 12. Cole R. 28. Tuterov T. 9. Wareham J.
Substitutes
27. Dudek K. (G) 12. Evans G. 41. Krubally S. 7. McKiernan J. J. 6. Sibbick T. 11. Tavares F. 5. Vancooten T.
10. Aitchison J. 6. Brierley E. 27. Magennis J. 7. Mendes C. 32. Phillips F. (G) 3. Rydel R. 20. Woodhouse L.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Taylor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Niskanen I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
49', Chauke K. ↓, Evans G. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Moon J. ⚽, Godwin-Malife U. (A),
71', McDonald K. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
71', Cannon A. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
75', Tuterov T. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
79', James E. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,
79', Andrew D. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
88', Woodhouse L. 🟨,
90+5', Webster C. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Burton could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Doyle-Hayes J.
(Injury)
Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
Turns E.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Evans G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Exeter: Whitworth J.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
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Collins B. (G) 
Chauke K. 
Armer J. 
Shade T. 
James E. 
Sweeney P. (C) 
Niskanen I. 
Tuterov T. 
Dudek K. (G) 
McKiernan J. J. 
Sibbick T. 
Tavares F. 
Vancooten T. 
Mendes C. 
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