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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 39.7%
Draw 28.4%
Burton Albion 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
28.1%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
27.8%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Port Vale - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 24. Kyle John 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. (C) 27. Campbell E. 14. Ojo F. 33. Hall G. 18. Croasdale R. 19. Waine B. 9. Stockley J. 11. Archer E.
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 5. Vancooten T. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 7. McKiernan J. J. 23. Revan S. 41. Krubally S. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 10. Brown D. 15. Gordon L. 45. Gray A. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 35. Magloire T. 12. Walters R.
29. Adom K. 3. Armer J. 42. Cannon A. 27. Dudek K. (G) 28. Matthews Lewis M. 6. Sibbick T. 11. Tavares F.
Coaches
Brady J.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Archer E. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽, Revan S. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Waine B. ⚽,
36', Vancooten T. 🟨,
40', Hall G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Beesley J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
55', Krubally S. 🟨,
61', Hall C. 🟨,
70', Vancooten T. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
76', Stockley J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
76', Waine B. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
78', Krubally S. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
83', Archer E. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
88', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
90+3', Croasdale R. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
Port Vale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Webster C.
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).
United-kingdom
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Gauci J. (G) 
Kyle John 
Ojo F. 
Waine B. 
Vancooten T. 
McKiernan J. J. 
Shade T. 
Brown D. 
Armer J. 
Dudek K. (G) 
Sibbick T. 
Tavares F. 
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